{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "905d206f-b5ef-4513-8a9d-634c76a6f75c",
    "symbol": "AUBN",
    "name": "Auburn National Bancorporation Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 76.872,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 40.122,
    "architecture_energy": 26.347,
    "architecture_maturity": 49.253,
    "architecture_confidence": 79.295,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 42.49,
        "rotation_up": 29.64,
        "upward_expansion": 60.82,
        "deceleration": 90.87,
        "rotation_down": 25.85,
        "downward_expansion": 15.49
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        26.428,
        26.624787,
        25.808342,
        25.215541
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 26.35,
    "trend_reference": 24.682832,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.067544,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 21.076007,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.250237,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -7.358907,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.093569,
    "excess_performance": -0.093884,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.067544,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.018695,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.250237,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.100944,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.073589,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.114856,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.093569,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.089954,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 7070,
      "relative_activity": 0.517193,
      "balance": 2.089954,
      "dry_up": 0.576593,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.058519,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.346186,
      "from_high_reference": -0.087604,
      "from_low_reference": 0.26764
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 24.682832,
      "fair_value_reference": 21.076007,
      "structural_low": 20.786665,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.000829,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.021964,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.077674,
        "worst_return": -0.081724,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.075059,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.065279,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.055091,
        "worst_return": -0.095026,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.129378,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.059684,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.305224,
        "worst_return": -0.046468,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.234239,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.052579,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.234239,
        "worst_return": 0.234239,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-02-28",
        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.025998,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-03-28",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.065248,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.080742,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-06-13",
        "end": "2025-06-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.083131,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-06-27",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.018196,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-07-18",
        "end": "2025-08-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.137338,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-08-29",
        "end": "2025-09-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.077125,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-10-03",
        "end": "2025-11-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.038838,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-11-14",
        "end": "2026-03-13",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.047507,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-03-20",
        "end": "2026-05-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.130414,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-05-15",
        "end": "2026-06-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.045412,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-06-12",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.114113,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-07-10",
        "end": "2026-07-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.03184,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-08-07",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "typical_volume": 14140.4,
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        "direction": -34.467911,
        "energy": 17.44349,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 23.299665,
        "volume": 34162,
        "typical_volume": 15483.3,
        "trend": 24.32056,
        "fair_value": 20.411118,
        "relative_strength": -15.351614,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -32.322983,
        "energy": 16.03403,
        "activity_lines": [
          23.471954,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 23.497539,
        "volume": 12737,
        "typical_volume": 15270.95,
        "trend": 24.296605,
        "fair_value": 20.445216,
        "relative_strength": -18.844492,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -31.432232,
        "energy": 15.003994,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 23.744981,
        "volume": 21976,
        "typical_volume": 15600.5,
        "trend": 24.246675,
        "fair_value": 20.483089,
        "relative_strength": -17.604483,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -29.932888,
        "energy": 13.549043,
        "activity_lines": [
          23.577381,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 24.239567,
        "volume": 16122,
        "typical_volume": 16048.35,
        "trend": 24.233896,
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        "relative_strength": -16.68862,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -20.209689,
        "energy": 10.118983,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "volume": 22129,
        "typical_volume": 16697.0,
        "trend": 24.229857,
        "fair_value": 20.556803,
        "relative_strength": -17.189183,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 9.189683,
        "activity_lines": [
          24.143948,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 24.823295,
        "volume": 5669,
        "typical_volume": 16073.45,
        "trend": 24.202311,
        "fair_value": 20.59646,
        "relative_strength": -12.829777,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 19.738688,
        "energy": 22.141184,
        "activity_lines": [
          24.450646,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 24.8,
        "volume": 13023,
        "typical_volume": 16150.75,
        "trend": 24.215316,
        "fair_value": 20.651262,
        "relative_strength": -14.704415,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 19.898423,
        "energy": 32.766022,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 25.4,
        "volume": 6899,
        "typical_volume": 16211.35,
        "trend": 24.255102,
        "fair_value": 20.702319,
        "relative_strength": -14.607026,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 31.838952,
        "energy": 50.562027,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 28.88,
        "volume": 17967,
        "typical_volume": 16647.5,
        "trend": 24.438979,
        "fair_value": 20.769644,
        "relative_strength": 1.835904,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 67.664246,
        "energy": 78.340526,
        "activity_lines": [
          26.318723,
          25.36333,
          24.50617,
          24.388397
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 27.63,
        "volume": 6554,
        "typical_volume": 16747.25,
        "trend": 24.55778,
        "fair_value": 20.826074,
        "relative_strength": -3.346847,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.724118,
        "energy": 86.018624,
        "activity_lines": [
          26.952886,
          25.893072,
          24.841117,
          24.59427
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 27.01,
        "volume": 11920,
        "typical_volume": 17163.1,
        "trend": 24.64678,
        "fair_value": 20.88004,
        "relative_strength": -6.936565,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.281016,
        "energy": 80.35093,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.187333,
          26.239449,
          25.101908,
          24.752477
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 26.6,
        "volume": 6808,
        "typical_volume": 17075.5,
        "trend": 24.621024,
        "fair_value": 20.932472,
        "relative_strength": -3.885032,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.05099,
        "energy": 74.93241,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.139333,
          26.443819,
          25.314711,
          24.878492
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 26.62,
        "volume": 6185,
        "typical_volume": 17118.0,
        "trend": 24.629522,
        "fair_value": 20.983332,
        "relative_strength": -1.815339,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.26154,
        "energy": 47.173574,
        "activity_lines": [
          26.978,
          26.595417,
          25.515022,
          25.007458
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 26.15,
        "volume": 11465,
        "typical_volume": 16818.65,
        "trend": 24.645181,
        "fair_value": 21.029056,
        "relative_strength": -3.790894,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 44.459123,
        "energy": 32.485613,
        "activity_lines": [
          26.578667,
          26.609288,
          25.659063,
          25.105553
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 26.35,
        "volume": 7070,
        "typical_volume": 13669.95,
        "trend": 24.682832,
        "fair_value": 21.076007,
        "relative_strength": -7.358907,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 40.121506,
        "energy": 26.346859,
        "activity_lines": [
          26.428,
          26.624787,
          25.808342,
          25.215541
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}