{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "905f792f-c362-4450-bc8c-79b28f2d4629",
    "symbol": "TNET",
    "name": "TriNet Group Inc",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "model_version": "ta-0.1.0",
    "as_of_week": "2026-07-31",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "history_weeks": 344,
    "chart_window_weeks": 156,
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "stage_color": "blue",
    "phase": "1c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch",
    "stage_age_weeks": 6,
    "hard_stage_exit": false,
    "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch",
    "transition_score": 72.638,
    "is_transition_watch": true,
    "confidence": 89.971,
    "composite_score": 82.845,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_color": "teal",
    "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 86.686,
    "architecture_energy": 93.746,
    "architecture_maturity": 30.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 79.695,
    "architecture_age_weeks": 5,
    "is_reacceleration_watch": false,
    "architecture": {
      "regime": "rotation_up",
      "label": "Rotation Up",
      "color": "teal",
      "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
      "gate": "up",
      "direction": 86.686,
      "energy": 93.746,
      "maturity": 30.0,
      "confidence": 79.695,
      "confirmation": 96.396,
      "age_weeks": 5,
      "candidate": "upward_expansion",
      "candidate_weeks": 1,
      "hard_reversal": false,
      "reacceleration_watch": false,
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "The fast Activity Lines are gaining on the slow pair and price acceptance is improving. This is earlier than a full trend confirmation: renewed bullish ordering and fan expansion are still required."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 7.99,
        "rotation_up": 87.33,
        "upward_expansion": 99.93,
        "deceleration": 39.02,
        "rotation_down": 8.32,
        "downward_expansion": 21.93
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      "activity_lines": {
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        "10": 56.700366,
        "20": 50.816093,
        "30": 48.081051
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      "activity_slopes": {
        "5": 2.083296,
        "10": 1.675463,
        "20": 1.212968,
        "30": 0.648263
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      "bullish_order": 1.0,
      "bearish_order": 0.0,
      "fan_width_atr": 2.439059,
      "fan_width_change_4": 1.26129,
      "fan_width_percentile": 0.961538,
      "fast_slow_gap_atr": 1.757991,
      "fast_slow_gap_change_4": 0.948764,
      "price_acceptance": 1.0,
      "current_fan_distance_atr": 0.809301,
      "accepted_above": 1.0,
      "accepted_below": 0.0,
      "crossing_density": 0.25
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    "interpretation": {
      "headline": "Price is repairing upward toward current Fair Value.",
      "body": "The market remains below the long-term Fair Value anchor, so the recovery stays in Stage 1. A narrowing gap, improving relative strength, range compression and eventual resistance absorption determine whether it can graduate to Stage 2.",
      "phase": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch",
      "transition": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch",
      "transition_context": "The evidence score for the next canonical transition is 73/100."
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    "latest_close": 65.83,
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    "sma_30_slope": -0.027128,
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    "is_fair_value_repair": true,
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    "mansfield_rs_change_13": 45.966372,
    "range_position_52": 0.817685,
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      "26": 0.083622,
      "52": 0.057826
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    "relative_returns": {
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      "52": -0.157008
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    "stage_scores": {
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      "2": 44.0,
      "3": 30.01,
      "4": 19.66
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        "label": "Price vs 30-week average",
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        "value": 0.390189,
        "read": "Above"
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      {
        "label": "30-week slope",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.027128,
        "read": "Falling"
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      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
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        "read": "Below anchor"
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      {
        "label": "13-week Fair Value gap",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.28569,
        "read": "Closing upward"
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      {
        "label": "Mansfield RS vs SPY",
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      {
        "label": "13-week RS change",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.459664,
        "read": "Improving"
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      {
        "label": "26-week price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.083622,
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      {
        "label": "13-week volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.461488,
        "read": "Demand-led"
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      "drawdown_from_52_high": -0.099145,
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        "activity_5": 45.523798,
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      {
        "week": "2026-06-19",
        "open": 46.814759,
        "high": 47.719824,
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        "close": 45.044411,
        "volume": 1534792,
        "sma_30": 47.262354,
        "fair_value_history": 83.393956,
        "mansfield_rs": -26.204293,
        "stage": 4,
        "architecture_regime": "balance",
        "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "architecture_gate": "down",
        "architecture_direction": -0.044345,
        "architecture_energy": 20.232878,
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      {
        "week": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 2145354,
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        "mansfield_rs": -15.725849,
        "stage": 1,
        "architecture_regime": "balance",
        "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "architecture_gate": "mixed",
        "architecture_direction": 33.684241,
        "architecture_energy": 42.9904,
        "activity_5": 47.196677,
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      },
      {
        "week": "2026-07-03",
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        "high": 55.345,
        "low": 48.644781,
        "close": 55.21,
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        "sma_30": 46.953463,
        "fair_value_history": 82.913582,
        "mansfield_rs": -7.283181,
        "stage": 1,
        "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
        "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair",
        "architecture_gate": "mixed",
        "architecture_direction": 47.760433,
        "architecture_energy": 61.395791,
        "activity_5": 50.024928,
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        "activity_30": 44.53896
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      {
        "week": "2026-07-10",
        "open": 54.99,
        "high": 57.24,
        "low": 53.2,
        "close": 55.54,
        "volume": 1392087,
        "sma_30": 46.853663,
        "fair_value_history": 82.679701,
        "mansfield_rs": -7.1829,
        "stage": 1,
        "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
        "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "architecture_gate": "mixed",
        "architecture_direction": 52.546306,
        "architecture_energy": 68.705321,
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      {
        "week": "2026-07-17",
        "open": 56.69,
        "high": 62.0,
        "low": 55.38,
        "close": 59.56,
        "volume": 1582739,
        "sma_30": 46.921101,
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        "mansfield_rs": 1.616285,
        "stage": 1,
        "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
        "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "architecture_gate": "mixed",
        "architecture_direction": 57.793652,
        "architecture_energy": 79.170431,
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        "activity_30": 45.912694
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      {
        "week": "2026-07-24",
        "open": 58.82,
        "high": 62.6,
        "low": 58.51,
        "close": 61.75,
        "volume": 1952683,
        "sma_30": 47.049363,
        "fair_value_history": 82.235319,
        "mansfield_rs": 6.593506,
        "stage": 1,
        "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
        "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "architecture_gate": "mixed",
        "architecture_direction": 56.146237,
        "architecture_energy": 83.039699,
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        "activity_30": 46.869397
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      {
        "week": "2026-07-31",
        "open": 62.45,
        "high": 73.075,
        "low": 62.45,
        "close": 65.83,
        "volume": 2684544,
        "sma_30": 47.353279,
        "fair_value_history": 82.011075,
        "mansfield_rs": 12.76609,
        "stage": 1,
        "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
        "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "architecture_gate": "up",
        "architecture_direction": 86.685942,
        "architecture_energy": 93.745608,
        "activity_5": 61.408,
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        "activity_20": 50.816093,
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    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed weekly OHLCV",
      "trend": "30-week simple moving average; slope compares the current value with ten completed weeks earlier",
      "fair_value": "current horizontal Fair Value is the arithmetic mean of up to 156 completed weekly closes; Stage 1 repair measures whether price is below and rising toward that anchor",
      "relative_strength": "Mansfield-style relative performance line: ticker/SPY divided by its trailing 52-week mean, minus one",
      "classification": "Trend Architecture uses the Activity Line position as a direction gate, then classifies ordering, four-week slopes, ATR-normalized fan width, fast/slow rotation and six-week price acceptance. Ordinary regime changes require two completed observations; a fully aligned reversal beyond the fan can change immediately.",
      "architecture_boundary": "The green/red/orange Trend gate is derived from the same Activity Lines and is therefore not counted as an independent vote. Relative strength and volume alter confirmation, while point-in-time Fair Value supplies context rather than determining the regime.",
      "admissibility": "Stage 2 cannot persist when price is more than 5% below the 30-week average or 8% below current Fair Value, the ten-week average slope is below -2%, Mansfield RS is below -8, or the 26-week return is below -15%. Stage 4 requires price no more than 5% above the average, RS no higher than +8, and at least one deterioration test: slope at or below +1.5%, 13-week return at or below -10%, or 26-week return at or below -12%. These are exit boundaries, not entry signals.",
      "confidence": "separation between the leading and runner-up stage evidence scores; not forecast probability"
    },
    "historical_outcomes": [
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        "weeks": 4,
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.060959,
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        "stage_survival": 0.25,
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        "worst_return": -0.114994,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "weeks": 13,
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      {
        "weeks": 26,
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    ],
    "stage_ledger": [
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        "stage": 2,
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        "weeks": 5,
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        "stage": 3,
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        "start": "2023-02-10",
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        "return": 0.170158
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      {
        "stage": 2,
        "name": "Advancing",
        "start": "2023-02-24",
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        "weeks": 3,
        "return": -0.049715
      },
      {
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        "return": 0.051115
      },
      {
        "stage": 2,
        "name": "Advancing",
        "start": "2023-04-07",
        "end": "2024-04-19",
        "weeks": 55,
        "return": 0.602669
      },
      {
        "stage": 3,
        "name": "Distribution",
        "start": "2024-04-26",
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        "weeks": 4,
        "return": -0.017026
      },
      {
        "stage": 4,
        "name": "Declining",
        "start": "2024-05-24",
        "end": "2026-06-19",
        "weeks": 109,
        "return": -0.567504
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      {
        "stage": 1,
        "name": "Basing",
        "start": "2026-06-26",
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        "return": 0.326165,
        "active": true
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    ],
    "architecture_outcomes": [
      {
        "weeks": 4,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.147118,
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      {
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        "median_return": -0.007109,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
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        "median_return": 0.070759,
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    ],
    "architecture_ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2023-11-03",
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        "weeks": 5,
        "return": 0.133935,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-02-02",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-04-26",
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        "weeks": 6,
        "return": -0.016553,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "start": "2024-06-07",
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        "weeks": 27,
        "return": -0.100512,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-12-13",
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        "weeks": 10,
        "return": -0.184587,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-02-21",
        "end": "2025-05-09",
        "weeks": 12,
        "return": 0.236112,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-16",
        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "weeks": 8,
        "return": -0.132086,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "start": "2025-07-11",
        "end": "2026-01-16",
        "weeks": 28,
        "return": -0.079227,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-01-23",
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        "weeks": 3,
        "return": -0.107781,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "start": "2026-02-13",
        "end": "2026-05-29",
        "weeks": 16,
        "return": 0.150145,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-06-05",
        "end": "2026-06-26",
        "weeks": 4,
        "return": 0.070111,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-07-03",
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        "weeks": 5,
        "return": 0.192356,
        "active": true
      }
    ]
  }
}