{ "ticker": { "uuid": "90656fab-0870-4d45-a461-dbd3897428fa", "symbol": "BAC", "name": "Camsing Hc", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 90.28, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 77.84, "architecture_energy": 72.137, "architecture_maturity": 80.892, "architecture_confidence": 78.975, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.26, "rotation_up": 59.43, "upward_expansion": 83.0, "deceleration": 71.5, "rotation_down": 27.16, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.0678, 0.065945, 0.059129, 0.053811 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.069, "trend_reference": 0.048, "distance_from_trend": 0.4375, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.368821, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.812917, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 23.009122, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.815789, "excess_performance": 0.660954, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.4375, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.178396, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.812917, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.103191, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.230091, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.561777, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.815789, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.0, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 5.0, "dry_up": 0.047923, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.03456, "annualized_volatility": 0.641247, "from_high_reference": -0.041667, "from_low_reference": 0.916667 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.048, "fair_value_reference": 0.368821, "structural_low": 0.038, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.047619, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.01745, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.095238, "worst_return": 0.0, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-07-05", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.588235, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-05-30", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.29, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-06-20", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-27", "end": "2025-08-22", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-08-29", "end": "2026-04-24", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.116279, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-05-29", "end": "2026-06-05", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.05, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-06-12", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.095238, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 1.07, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2023-08-25", "close": 1.07, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": 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12.766574, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.330977, "energy": 78.220085, "activity_lines": [ 0.063, 0.060055, 0.051967, 0.048232 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.063, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 3100.0, "trend": 0.0454, "fair_value": 0.388071, "relative_strength": 13.118877, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.983465, "energy": 68.059784, "activity_lines": [ 0.063, 0.061473, 0.053529, 0.049411 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.069, "volume": 600, "typical_volume": 3130.0, "trend": 0.046267, "fair_value": 0.381654, "relative_strength": 23.153727, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 92.473779, "energy": 77.214418, "activity_lines": [ 0.065, 0.063527, 0.055543, 0.050933 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.069, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 3130.0, "trend": 0.047133, "fair_value": 0.375237, "relative_strength": 23.419291, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 86.495145, "energy": 75.151502, "activity_lines": [ 0.0666, 0.065018, 0.05741, 0.0524 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.069, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 3130.0, "trend": 0.048, "fair_value": 0.368821, "relative_strength": 23.009122, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.839814, "energy": 72.136556, "activity_lines": [ 0.0678, 0.065945, 0.059129, 0.053811 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }