{ "ticker": { "uuid": "906ac168-9b6d-475e-9b73-3964f83d88a9", "symbol": "ZOTS", "name": "Zoetis Inc.", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -70.968, "architecture_energy": 77.561, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.71, "rotation_up": 29.98, "upward_expansion": 17.66, "deceleration": 40.87, "rotation_down": 54.84, "downward_expansion": 90.99 }, "activity_lines": [ 65.987503, 66.393904, 70.185346, 77.1295 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 65.260002, "trend_reference": 86.322823, "distance_from_trend": -0.244001, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 136.195972, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.520838, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -47.488722, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.394826, "excess_performance": -0.569073, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.244001, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.125617, "read": "Falling" 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62.740002, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 33, "median_return": -0.015184, "positive_rate": 0.424242, "directional_follow_through": 0.575758, "median_excess_return": -0.035602, "regime_survival": 0.909091, "best_return": 0.120047, "worst_return": -0.365724, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.05774, "positive_rate": 0.181818, "directional_follow_through": 0.818182, "median_excess_return": -0.103117, "regime_survival": 0.818182, "best_return": 0.133734, "worst_return": -0.330903, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.137521, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": -0.248313, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.134142, "worst_return": -0.37145, "sufficient": 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"relative_strength": -47.068375, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.290652, "energy": 63.912037, "activity_lines": [ 66.284695, 66.9525, 72.800207, 80.046562 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 66.32, "volume": 80, "typical_volume": 41.95, "trend": 87.738221, "fair_value": 136.847688, "relative_strength": -45.940385, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.808751, "energy": 60.627341, "activity_lines": [ 66.310332, 66.743565, 71.463257, 78.579708 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 65.260002, "volume": 230, "typical_volume": 53.45, "trend": 86.322823, "fair_value": 136.195972, "relative_strength": -47.488722, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.967645, "energy": 77.560686, "activity_lines": [ 65.987503, 66.393904, 70.185346, 77.1295 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }