{ "ticker": { "uuid": "906b8d9d-8ca0-4fd7-a44d-3c42cd24a827", "symbol": "SUNS", "name": "Sunrise Realty Trust, Inc.", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 93.066, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -38.152, "architecture_energy": 20.499, "architecture_maturity": 20.104, "architecture_confidence": 75.596, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.33, "rotation_up": 17.67, "upward_expansion": 16.26, "deceleration": 51.41, "rotation_down": 49.08, "downward_expansion": 61.6 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.929333, 8.021375, 7.993039, 8.038379 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 7.8, "trend_reference": 8.206658, "distance_from_trend": -0.049552, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 10.299677, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.242695, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -22.178848, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.128485, "excess_performance": -0.315939, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.049552, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.04036, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.242695, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.063693, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.221788, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.108844, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.128485, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.595949, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 434346, "relative_activity": 0.891848, "balance": 0.595949, "dry_up": 0.640069, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.069562, "annualized_volatility": 0.236828, "from_high_reference": -0.269575, "from_low_reference": 0.103641 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.206658, "fair_value_reference": 10.299677, "structural_low": 7.067513, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.008137, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.020856, "regime_survival": 0.466667, "best_return": 0.120567, "worst_return": -0.187412, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.054586, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.076053, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.032506, "worst_return": -0.147492, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.079963, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.243664, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.069209, "worst_return": -0.179993, "sufficient": 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"balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -8.811131, "energy": 9.006454, "activity_lines": [ 8.162374, 8.114931, 7.990086, 8.145018 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 8.04, "volume": 285144, "typical_volume": 523791.0, "trend": 8.355536, "fair_value": 10.39904, "relative_strength": -22.211177, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -21.954092, "energy": 10.165395, "activity_lines": [ 8.121626, 8.127231, 7.987075, 8.121332 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 8.3, "volume": 280103, "typical_volume": 526747.5, "trend": 8.320374, "fair_value": 10.374452, "relative_strength": -15.638442, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -13.177316, "energy": 8.34959, "activity_lines": [ 8.173626, 8.174273, 8.01348, 8.117749 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.98, "volume": 285512, "typical_volume": 517186.6, "trend": 8.282629, "fair_value": 10.348938, "relative_strength": -16.99153, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -24.730533, "energy": 11.108814, "activity_lines": [ 8.11413, 8.145876, 8.012824, 8.095789 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.84, "volume": 246939, "typical_volume": 501935.75, "trend": 8.247235, "fair_value": 10.323359, "relative_strength": -18.355124, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -35.478874, "energy": 17.192409, "activity_lines": [ 8.019333, 8.08584, 8.003958, 8.067233 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.8, "volume": 434346, "typical_volume": 487017.9, "trend": 8.206658, "fair_value": 10.299677, "relative_strength": -22.178848, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.152277, "energy": 20.499358, "activity_lines": [ 7.929333, 8.021375, 7.993039, 8.038379 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }