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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 59.045, "architecture_energy": 46.411, "architecture_maturity": 51.321, "architecture_confidence": 55.707, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.53, "rotation_up": 46.9, "upward_expansion": 74.34, "deceleration": 71.5, "rotation_down": 25.41, "downward_expansion": 12.34 }, "activity_lines": [ 332.850667, 332.035637, 322.513295, 319.202257 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 325.0, "trend_reference": 315.860101, "distance_from_trend": 0.028937, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 370.590204, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.123021, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -0.045991, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.039735, "excess_performance": 0.094402, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.028937, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.019578, "read": "Rising" }, { 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98.171844, "activity_lines": [ 335.333333, 323.905318, 315.836216, 314.528208 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 329.0, "volume": 240, "typical_volume": 109.7, "trend": 313.204244, "fair_value": 371.468736, "relative_strength": -0.84589, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.520379, "energy": 88.84006, "activity_lines": [ 335.4, 326.2, 317.277364, 315.586897 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 329.0, "volume": 50, "typical_volume": 105.95, "trend": 314.017899, "fair_value": 371.142054, "relative_strength": 0.405519, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.017382, "energy": 87.225331, "activity_lines": [ 334.2, 328.018182, 318.708874, 316.605978 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 344.440002, "volume": 205, "typical_volume": 116.2, "trend": 315.179779, "fair_value": 370.938221, "relative_strength": 5.118047, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 86.008042, "energy": 73.194301, "activity_lines": [ 337.213334, 332.170909, 321.585994, 318.568695 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 325.0, "volume": 279, "typical_volume": 126.1, "trend": 315.860101, "fair_value": 370.590204, "relative_strength": -0.045991, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.0454, "energy": 46.411085, "activity_lines": [ 332.850667, 332.035637, 322.513295, 319.202257 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }