{ "ticker": { "uuid": "907f8808-f440-49ef-9f3c-22b619e428b5", "symbol": "002885", "name": "ShenzhenJingQuanHua Electronics Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 79.304, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -25.817, "architecture_energy": 51.719, "architecture_maturity": 9.785, "architecture_confidence": 70.844, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.84, "rotation_up": 14.12, "upward_expansion": 24.07, "deceleration": 52.4, "rotation_down": 69.18, "downward_expansion": 51.4 }, "activity_lines": [ 26.650667, 30.845455, 34.410988, 33.551591 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 29.01, "trend_reference": 32.13753, "distance_from_trend": -0.097317, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 18.644886, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.555923, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 2.32487, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.136765, "excess_performance": 0.129366, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.097317, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.076946, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.555923, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.590277, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.023249, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.381057, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.136765, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.860862, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 92042755, "relative_activity": 1.078601, "balance": 0.860862, "dry_up": 0.947577, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.242248, "annualized_volatility": 0.914996, "from_high_reference": -0.479696, "from_low_reference": 1.062002 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 32.13753, "fair_value_reference": 18.644886, "structural_low": 21.190001, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.092, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.089407, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.420727, "worst_return": -0.056001, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.979644, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.916357, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 2.102608, "worst_return": -0.143321, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.482801, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.565969, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.063138, "worst_return": -0.097537, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"fair_value": 18.528966, "relative_strength": -2.079285, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -1.312424, "energy": 15.657405, "activity_lines": [ 34.103333, 37.622831, 36.797801, 34.781122 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 25.08, "volume": 85328311, "typical_volume": 86836170.1, "trend": 32.189109, "fair_value": 18.55439, "relative_strength": -7.041352, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -33.813112, "energy": 36.766971, "activity_lines": [ 30.199333, 34.831409, 35.900459, 34.32161 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 23.27, "volume": 73461043, "typical_volume": 84594997.3, "trend": 32.026186, "fair_value": 18.574215, "relative_strength": -12.872112, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -37.476026, "energy": 44.860441, "activity_lines": [ 26.860667, 32.040273, 34.867136, 33.746184 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 29.01, "volume": 92042755, "typical_volume": 85335310.3, "trend": 32.13753, "fair_value": 18.644886, "relative_strength": 2.32487, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -25.817351, "energy": 51.719054, "activity_lines": [ 26.650667, 30.845455, 34.410988, 33.551591 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }