{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9092ca5f-c492-4217-8277-e369efee3e90", "symbol": "688626", "name": "Xiangyu Medical Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -60.584, "architecture_energy": 51.311, "architecture_maturity": 41.931, "architecture_confidence": 91.228, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.19, "rotation_up": 19.95, "upward_expansion": 7.69, "deceleration": 57.91, "rotation_down": 56.42, "downward_expansion": 78.69 }, "activity_lines": [ 43.894, 44.974286, 48.706688, 52.150124 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 46.700001, "trend_reference": 57.518977, "distance_from_trend": -0.188094, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 43.533016, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.072749, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.545393, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.309069, "excess_performance": -0.265866, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.188094, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.03103, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.072749, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.359347, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.155454, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.216504, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.309069, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.468353, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 13600217, "relative_activity": 1.373815, "balance": 0.468353, "dry_up": 1.74675, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.12537, "annualized_volatility": 0.573476, "from_high_reference": -0.508421, "from_low_reference": 0.188295 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 57.518977, "fair_value_reference": 43.533016, "structural_low": 39.299999, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.058647, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.018484, "regime_survival": 0.875, "best_return": 0.264273, "worst_return": -0.208743, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.013817, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.086381, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.055029, "worst_return": -0.273552, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.014197, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.047662, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.205181, "worst_return": -0.233576, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"relative_strength": -15.979766, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.628207, "energy": 69.252471, "activity_lines": [ 47.458976, 49.150728, 52.940627, 56.114742 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 43.700001, "volume": 19603455, "typical_volume": 10443810.7, "trend": 58.875311, "fair_value": 43.611909, "relative_strength": -17.841696, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.083182, "energy": 60.728939, "activity_lines": [ 46.241334, 47.695371, 51.751869, 55.126872 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 39.610001, "volume": 13940381, "typical_volume": 10317903.25, "trend": 58.395311, "fair_value": 43.583385, "relative_strength": -26.251887, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.552953, "energy": 64.479207, "activity_lines": [ 43.928, 45.824978, 50.286301, 53.883949 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 42.799999, "volume": 22024459, "typical_volume": 10178031.7, "trend": 57.978977, "fair_value": 43.551121, "relative_strength": -20.506485, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.366826, "energy": 57.222217, "activity_lines": [ 43.246, 44.920519, 49.240589, 52.8778 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 46.700001, "volume": 13600217, "typical_volume": 9899598.4, "trend": 57.518977, "fair_value": 43.533016, "relative_strength": -15.545393, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.583814, "energy": 51.311031, "activity_lines": [ 43.894, 44.974286, 48.706688, 52.150124 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }