{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "90b85686-8804-4945-b3e9-24cfd6f3e3d3",
    "symbol": "301222",
    "name": "Zhejiang Hengwei Battery Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 69.001,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -23.324,
    "architecture_energy": 51.107,
    "architecture_maturity": 8.383,
    "architecture_confidence": 74.403,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 30.19,
        "rotation_up": 16.9,
        "upward_expansion": 27.24,
        "deceleration": 48.21,
        "rotation_down": 67.23,
        "downward_expansion": 52.24
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        24.363999,
        27.05,
        29.475934,
        28.805518
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 25.129999,
    "trend_reference": 27.308784,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.079783,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 20.189583,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.244701,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -0.660404,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.177475,
    "excess_performance": 0.170075,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.079783,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.110352,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.244701,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.583501,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.006604,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.313078,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.177475,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.441986,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 8707845,
      "relative_activity": 0.438258,
      "balance": 0.441986,
      "dry_up": 0.631809,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.196723,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.608536,
      "from_high_reference": -0.326995,
      "from_low_reference": 0.292413
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 27.308784,
      "fair_value_reference": 20.189583,
      "structural_low": 20.879999,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.000699,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.024892,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.05812,
        "worst_return": -0.059518,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.206836,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.078147,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.2735,
        "worst_return": 0.140171,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.488148,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.243187,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.690986,
        "worst_return": 0.285309,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.463545,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.0234,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.463545,
        "worst_return": 0.463545,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-09-20",
        "end": "2024-10-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.250126,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-10-25",
        "end": "2024-11-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.057692,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-11-08",
        "end": "2024-12-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.154992,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-03",
        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.135792,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-03-07",
        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.092686,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-04-25",
        "end": "2025-05-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.028769,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-16",
        "end": "2025-06-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.090654,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-07-04",
        "end": "2025-11-14",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.105976,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-12-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.011607,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2026-01-16",
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        "return": 0.042051,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-02-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.106947,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "end": "2026-08-07",
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        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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        "fair_value": 20.089729,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 25.4,
        "volume": 17942206,
        "typical_volume": 21201403.2,
        "trend": 26.971393,
        "fair_value": 20.123139,
        "relative_strength": 4.234949,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "activity_lines": [
          29.453333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 13587280,
        "typical_volume": 20783567.1,
        "trend": 27.081476,
        "fair_value": 20.14441,
        "relative_strength": -3.776086,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -10.474406,
        "energy": 22.366076,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.084,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 22.299999,
        "volume": 9976852,
        "typical_volume": 20477970.1,
        "trend": 27.13941,
        "fair_value": 20.154872,
        "relative_strength": -7.224939,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -34.818294,
        "energy": 43.592187,
        "activity_lines": [
          25.003333,
          27.963818,
          29.903659,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 25.129999,
        "volume": 8707845,
        "typical_volume": 19869200.0,
        "trend": 27.308784,
        "fair_value": 20.189583,
        "relative_strength": -0.660404,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -23.32408,
        "energy": 51.107273,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}