{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "90bb3036-f1aa-49f7-8453-50946c531e80",
    "symbol": "IFX",
    "name": "Infineon Technologies AG",
    "exchange": "GER",
    "country": "DE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GDAXI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 2.476,
    "architecture_energy": 24.051,
    "architecture_maturity": 68.757,
    "architecture_confidence": 72.471,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 55.45,
        "rotation_up": 14.61,
        "upward_expansion": 46.93,
        "deceleration": 88.0,
        "rotation_down": 44.62,
        "downward_expansion": 29.6
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        63.340668,
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        68.695787,
        63.443959
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 62.080002,
    "trend_reference": 56.59253,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.096965,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 37.399135,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.659931,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 22.081618,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.488229,
    "excess_performance": 0.423589,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.096965,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.269,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.659931,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.136211,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.220816,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.385733,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.488229,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.660431,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 22131632,
      "relative_activity": 1.063222,
      "balance": 1.660431,
      "dry_up": 1.189285,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.119672,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.504627,
      "from_high_reference": -0.264193,
      "from_low_reference": 1.029776
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 56.59253,
      "fair_value_reference": 37.399135,
      "structural_low": 35.779999,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": -0.03625,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.063249,
        "regime_survival": 0.555556,
        "best_return": 0.203251,
        "worst_return": -0.135678,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.032557,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.058011,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.169291,
        "worst_return": -0.211091,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.044179,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.032743,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.393283,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.001123,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.161313,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.16399,
        "worst_return": -0.276529,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.295751,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.254508,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.075172,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "return": 0.038961,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "return": -0.100453,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": true
      }
    ],
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 20817220.4,
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        "fair_value": 36.860222,
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        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "direction": 44.911883,
        "energy": 37.538709,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 64.410004,
        "volume": 20034141,
        "typical_volume": 20407544.7,
        "trend": 55.107714,
        "fair_value": 37.027522,
        "relative_strength": 35.351103,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 35.724702,
        "energy": 32.295991,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 61.67,
        "volume": 34440528,
        "typical_volume": 21137960.8,
        "trend": 55.897621,
        "fair_value": 37.209224,
        "relative_strength": 25.670084,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 19.037525,
        "energy": 29.776866,
        "activity_lines": [
          65.287335,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 62.080002,
        "volume": 22131632,
        "typical_volume": 20815621.35,
        "trend": 56.59253,
        "fair_value": 37.399135,
        "relative_strength": 22.081618,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 2.476406,
        "energy": 24.050628,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}