{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "90d32573-cd3d-4835-84b1-b77b9c370edc",
    "symbol": "NGVT",
    "name": "Ingevity Corp",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 61.132,
    "architecture_energy": 37.506,
    "architecture_maturity": 23.113,
    "architecture_confidence": 72.606,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.",
        "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 42.25,
        "rotation_up": 52.15,
        "upward_expansion": 72.46,
        "deceleration": 60.61,
        "rotation_down": 15.39,
        "downward_expansion": 3.79
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        75.096667,
        74.391091,
        73.116476,
        72.396409
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 77.82,
    "trend_reference": 71.466,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.088909,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 50.621987,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.537277,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 7.302684,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.070574,
    "excess_performance": -0.055051,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.088909,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.091178,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.537277,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.002387,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.073027,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.09679,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.070574,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.98517,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1439331,
      "relative_activity": 1.149306,
      "balance": 0.98517,
      "dry_up": 1.022398,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.070881,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.371099,
      "from_high_reference": -0.018478,
      "from_low_reference": 0.697274
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 71.466,
      "fair_value_reference": 50.621987,
      "structural_low": 62.9,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 18,
        "median_return": -0.000472,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.017125,
        "regime_survival": 0.444444,
        "best_return": 0.204995,
        "worst_return": -0.170116,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.02548,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.015513,
        "regime_survival": 0.444444,
        "best_return": 0.270987,
        "worst_return": -0.156793,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.06798,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.028357,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.387223,
        "worst_return": -0.143097,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.068987,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.192478,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.507526,
        "worst_return": -0.23631,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-11-29",
        "end": "2024-12-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.159975,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.173892,
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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      {
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "color": "orange",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.01189,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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      {
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      {
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
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      {
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        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
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        "energy": 36.813986,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "trend": 69.111667,
        "fair_value": 50.131731,
        "relative_strength": 6.480952,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 1445556.65,
        "trend": 69.551667,
        "fair_value": 50.2075,
        "relative_strength": 4.036137,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 76.53,
        "volume": 1195121,
        "typical_volume": 1395920.7,
        "trend": 70.149,
        "fair_value": 50.303141,
        "relative_strength": 11.538894,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.621692,
        "energy": 52.838031,
        "activity_lines": [
          74.403333,
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          72.240524,
          71.594151
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 73.26,
        "volume": 978289,
        "typical_volume": 1352126.35,
        "trend": 70.586,
        "fair_value": 50.366474,
        "relative_strength": 6.835292,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 48.254394,
        "energy": 27.514348,
        "activity_lines": [
          74.048667,
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          71.79486
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 73.11,
        "volume": 1508849,
        "typical_volume": 1317801.05,
        "trend": 71.02,
        "fair_value": 50.462308,
        "relative_strength": 4.762148,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 45.402298,
        "energy": 24.115094,
        "activity_lines": [
          73.654,
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          72.570381,
          71.957699
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 77.82,
        "volume": 1439331,
        "typical_volume": 1252347.4,
        "trend": 71.466,
        "fair_value": 50.621987,
        "relative_strength": 7.302684,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.131822,
        "energy": 37.505885,
        "activity_lines": [
          75.096667,
          74.391091,
          73.116476,
          72.396409
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}