{ "ticker": { "uuid": "90e2e616-548c-46ee-b2bd-960c87e47fdf", "symbol": "VBBR3", "name": "Vibra Energia S.A.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 64.928, "architecture_energy": 80.316, "architecture_maturity": 11.863, "architecture_confidence": 81.136, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.06, "rotation_up": 76.7, "upward_expansion": 91.99, "deceleration": 44.69, "rotation_down": 8.1, "downward_expansion": 18.66 }, "activity_lines": [ 34.899333, 33.299724, 32.308132, 31.897969 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 34.23, "trend_reference": 31.166751, "distance_from_trend": 0.098286, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 20.976624, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.631816, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 21.29715, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.089203, "excess_performance": 0.146251, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.098286, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.088273, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.631816, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.079453, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.212971, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.02532, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.089203, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.155354, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 34478000, "relative_activity": 1.059088, "balance": 1.155354, "dry_up": 1.270985, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.054654, "annualized_volatility": 0.294611, "from_high_reference": -0.06552, "from_low_reference": 0.876478 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 31.166751, "fair_value_reference": 20.976624, "structural_low": 28.008295, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": 0.000784, "positive_rate": 0.52, "directional_follow_through": 0.52, "median_excess_return": -0.007454, "regime_survival": 0.68, "best_return": 0.244027, "worst_return": -0.119867, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.082564, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.035101, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.201815, "worst_return": -0.197369, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.053831, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.06457, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.337799, "worst_return": -0.320004, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"fair_value": 20.691325, "relative_strength": 25.000768, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.740637, "energy": 68.926602, "activity_lines": [ 33.641999, 31.865893, 31.634999, 31.324009 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 36.05, "volume": 33101200, "typical_volume": 33428135.0, "trend": 30.867819, "fair_value": 20.838558, "relative_strength": 24.650692, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.740709, "energy": 86.698051, "activity_lines": [ 34.785999, 32.782988, 32.074824, 31.681054 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 34.23, "volume": 34478000, "typical_volume": 32554425.0, "trend": 31.166751, "fair_value": 20.976624, "relative_strength": 21.29715, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.927973, "energy": 80.315504, "activity_lines": [ 34.899333, 33.299724, 32.308132, 31.897969 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }