{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "90e4488a-43b1-4c54-b818-c0fd563d2eae",
    "symbol": "FLTW",
    "name": "FRANKLIN TEMPLETON ETF TR FTSE TAIWAN ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 39.511,
    "architecture_energy": 24.103,
    "architecture_maturity": 73.806,
    "architecture_confidence": 92.296,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 38.4,
        "rotation_up": 27.15,
        "upward_expansion": 58.38,
        "deceleration": 88.31,
        "rotation_down": 29.6,
        "downward_expansion": 19.71
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        95.991333,
        97.795639,
        95.943313,
        90.669797
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 99.02,
    "trend_reference": 83.555466,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.185081,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 53.064414,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.866034,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 22.532008,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.467615,
    "excess_performance": 0.34199,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.185081,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.185003,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.866034,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.075071,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.22532,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.139498,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.467615,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.911277,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2022084,
      "relative_activity": 0.742791,
      "balance": 0.911277,
      "dry_up": 1.133739,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.083308,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.359903,
      "from_high_reference": -0.100776,
      "from_low_reference": 0.917196
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 83.555466,
      "fair_value_reference": 53.064414,
      "structural_low": 65.55,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": 0.027986,
        "positive_rate": 0.7,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.7,
        "median_excess_return": 0.011127,
        "regime_survival": 0.3,
        "best_return": 0.279369,
        "worst_return": -0.030863,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.091502,
        "positive_rate": 0.857143,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.857143,
        "median_excess_return": -0.009116,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.49446,
        "worst_return": -0.133199,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.07845,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.014088,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.605365,
        "worst_return": -0.19199,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.082513,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.040048,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.234573,
        "worst_return": -0.159942,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-12-29",
        "end": "2024-04-26",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.022617,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-05-03",
        "end": "2024-05-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.046997,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-24",
        "end": "2024-08-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.022002,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-09",
        "end": "2024-10-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.069657,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-10-18",
        "end": "2024-12-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.04446,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-12-27",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.043051,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.074607,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-05-23",
        "end": "2025-06-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.081703,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-11-28",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.113695,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-12-05",
        "end": "2025-12-19",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.00776,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-12-26",
        "end": "2026-03-27",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.10474,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-04-03",
        "end": "2026-04-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.179938,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-07-24",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.065189,
        "active": true
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    ],
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      },
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      },
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "trend": 79.058132,
        "fair_value": 51.553864,
        "relative_strength": 34.559853,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 93.67,
        "volume": 1836633,
        "typical_volume": 2425302.7,
        "trend": 80.209132,
        "fair_value": 51.921853,
        "relative_strength": 23.449355,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 49.312759,
        "energy": 42.919705,
        "activity_lines": [
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          93.902894,
          87.941156
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 94.23,
        "volume": 5992069,
        "typical_volume": 2629028.15,
        "trend": 81.338799,
        "fair_value": 52.286779,
        "relative_strength": 23.896219,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 43.697678,
        "energy": 33.149061,
        "activity_lines": [
          97.128,
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          94.596399,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 92.96,
        "volume": 2494624,
        "typical_volume": 2664970.6,
        "trend": 82.368132,
        "fair_value": 52.653518,
        "relative_strength": 20.012633,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 36.621388,
        "energy": 21.936306,
        "activity_lines": [
          95.312667,
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          89.595483
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 99.02,
        "volume": 2022084,
        "typical_volume": 2722277.4,
        "trend": 83.555466,
        "fair_value": 53.064414,
        "relative_strength": 22.532008,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 39.510967,
        "energy": 24.103442,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}