{ "ticker": { "uuid": "90e83a5e-5a49-4be6-a760-db48574024c1", "symbol": "PHVS", "name": "Pharvaris BV", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 62.299, "architecture_energy": 40.484, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 78.104, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.39, "rotation_up": 49.87, "upward_expansion": 78.42, "deceleration": 65.73, "rotation_down": 23.91, "downward_expansion": 5.09 }, "activity_lines": [ 34.166, 33.951091, 32.524905, 31.24914 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 34.91, "trend_reference": 29.684, "distance_from_trend": 0.176054, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 22.431955, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.556262, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 12.739753, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.321347, "excess_performance": 0.133894, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.176054, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.100794, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.556262, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.113077, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.127398, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.0706, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.321347, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.518056, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2161476, "relative_activity": 1.185038, "balance": 1.518056, "dry_up": 0.923975, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.089604, "annualized_volatility": 0.288873, "from_high_reference": -0.046175, "from_low_reference": 0.784765 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 29.684, "fair_value_reference": 22.431955, "structural_low": 24.95, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": 0.036675, "positive_rate": 0.652174, "directional_follow_through": 0.652174, "median_excess_return": 0.020775, "regime_survival": 0.782609, "best_return": 0.343373, "worst_return": -0.167192, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.018066, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.020603, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 1.034595, "worst_return": -0.151351, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.221229, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.121084, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.997838, "worst_return": -0.277628, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.221987, "energy": 72.555469, "activity_lines": [ 33.942667, 32.681091, 31.009333, 29.920559 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 34.94, "volume": 1329884, "typical_volume": 1661908.25, "trend": 28.898333, "fair_value": 22.128045, "relative_strength": 19.352446, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.534071, "energy": 71.212676, "activity_lines": [ 34.492, 33.254182, 31.514143, 30.330452 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 34.17, "volume": 1439538, "typical_volume": 1695359.7, "trend": 29.178667, "fair_value": 22.238686, "relative_strength": 17.894242, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.537652, "energy": 60.382913, "activity_lines": [ 34.503333, 33.599091, 31.914429, 30.670559 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 32.62, "volume": 1810319, "typical_volume": 1746216.6, "trend": 29.383333, "fair_value": 22.327147, "relative_strength": 11.36648, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.308251, "energy": 42.715493, "activity_lines": [ 33.906667, 33.593636, 32.127762, 30.892581 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 34.91, "volume": 2161476, "typical_volume": 1823971.8, "trend": 29.684, "fair_value": 22.431955, "relative_strength": 12.739753, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.299479, "energy": 40.484225, "activity_lines": [ 34.166, 33.951091, 32.524905, 31.24914 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }