{ "ticker": { "uuid": "90eb559f-e2d9-45d5-bc3e-e730c49c836d", "symbol": "WREE", "name": "WisdomTree Strategic Metals and Rare Earths Miners UCITS ETF USD Acc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 78.193, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.752, "architecture_energy": 59.332, "architecture_maturity": 9.814, "architecture_confidence": 77.453, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.17, "rotation_up": 13.98, "upward_expansion": 10.81, "deceleration": 43.84, "rotation_down": 68.95, "downward_expansion": 86.48 }, "activity_lines": [ 3859.216667, 3931.836364, 4190.028571, 4291.762366 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 4194.5, "trend_reference": 4404.491667, "distance_from_trend": -0.047677, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2901.106665, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.445828, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -2.489515, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.03608, "excess_performance": -0.087315, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.047677, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.027434, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.445828, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.366167, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.024895, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.376495, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.03608, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.889356, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 34521, "relative_activity": 0.647409, "balance": 0.889356, "dry_up": 0.770524, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.076235, "annualized_volatility": 0.455468, "from_high_reference": -0.204985, "from_low_reference": 0.621063 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4404.491667, "fair_value_reference": 2901.106665, "structural_low": 3545.5, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-31", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.043718, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-11-28", "end": "2025-12-12", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.02021, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-12-19", "end": "2026-06-05", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.129632, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-06-12", "end": "2026-06-26", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.076586, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-07-03", "end": "2026-07-17", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.115568, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-07-24", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.125059, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2024-04-26", "close": 2124.5, "volume": 9, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-05-03", "close": 2166.75, "volume": 370, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-05-10", "close": 2240.0, "volume": 150, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, 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"fair_value": 2870.069395, "relative_strength": -6.074219, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -54.081602, "energy": 68.106686, "activity_lines": [ 4070.766667, 4249.754545, 4418.630952, 4450.668817 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3616.0, "volume": 53207, "typical_volume": 58334.95, "trend": 4420.391667, "fair_value": 2876.44487, "relative_strength": -12.59561, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -85.798291, "energy": 86.666245, "activity_lines": [ 3885.433333, 4104.945455, 4335.880952, 4398.453226 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3728.25, "volume": 55950, "typical_volume": 56275.15, "trend": 4414.508333, "fair_value": 2883.663558, "relative_strength": -11.307876, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.706975, "energy": 83.136998, "activity_lines": [ 3792.85, 4005.254545, 4270.740476, 4353.798925 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3666.0, "volume": 20665, "typical_volume": 54456.6, "trend": 4407.558333, "fair_value": 2890.237813, "relative_strength": -14.121954, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.654467, "energy": 84.379111, "activity_lines": [ 3723.3, 3911.968182, 4203.570238, 4305.508065 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4194.5, "volume": 34521, "typical_volume": 53321.8, "trend": 4404.491667, "fair_value": 2901.106665, "relative_strength": -2.489515, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.751557, "energy": 59.331662, "activity_lines": [ 3859.216667, 3931.836364, 4190.028571, 4291.762366 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }