{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "90ec45dd-720e-42d0-a6b3-e39efcb24fc8",
    "symbol": "ECOR",
    "name": "Ecora Royalties PLC",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 77.117,
    "architecture_energy": 62.831,
    "architecture_maturity": 15.006,
    "architecture_confidence": 85.149,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 35.51,
        "rotation_up": 63.53,
        "upward_expansion": 80.76,
        "deceleration": 51.49,
        "rotation_down": 16.0,
        "downward_expansion": 16.76
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        2.690667,
        2.623372,
        2.600391,
        2.580017
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 2.99,
    "trend_reference": 2.571885,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.162571,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 1.604295,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.863747,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 21.034036,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.177165,
    "excess_performance": 0.056744,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.162571,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.085976,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.863747,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.128198,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.21034,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.085253,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.177165,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.462441,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 262000,
      "relative_activity": 2.197802,
      "balance": 1.462441,
      "dry_up": 1.493583,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.052045,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.354367,
      "from_high_reference": 0.0,
      "from_low_reference": 1.3
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 2.571885,
      "fair_value_reference": 1.604295,
      "structural_low": 2.24,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 15,
        "median_return": 0.029586,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.011031,
        "regime_survival": 0.8,
        "best_return": 0.255905,
        "worst_return": -0.104478,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.074344,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.091277,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.493976,
        "worst_return": 0.015936,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.045987,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.104392,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.968254,
        "worst_return": -0.016129,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.434004,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
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        "median_excess_return": 0.309484,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.936508,
        "worst_return": -0.068501,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "end": "2024-10-11",
        "tenure": "Established",
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      {
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "return": 0.84127,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "color": "amber",
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        "active": true
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        "close": 2.51,
        "volume": 81000,
        "typical_volume": 216210.0,
        "trend": 2.221,
        "fair_value": 1.536801,
        "relative_strength": 24.762226,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 52.922468,
        "energy": 38.831711,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 214350.0,
        "trend": 2.243695,
        "fair_value": 1.539461,
        "relative_strength": 19.684719,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 27.852963,
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          2.41498
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 219320.0,
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        "fair_value": 1.543549,
        "relative_strength": 29.559371,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 34.414374,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 2.599531,
        "volume": 178700,
        "typical_volume": 224355.0,
        "trend": 2.307977,
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        "relative_strength": 25.225159,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 28.184214,
        "activity_lines": [
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          2.538978,
          2.463889
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 91500,
        "typical_volume": 223180.0,
        "trend": 2.338966,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 27.196753,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 223025.0,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 207650.0,
        "trend": 2.39593,
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        "relative_strength": 18.143447,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 185560.0,
        "trend": 2.424258,
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        "relative_strength": 14.936139,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "typical_volume": 169885.0,
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        "relative_strength": 16.92871,
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        "energy": 26.191982,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 2.599531,
        "volume": 17300,
        "typical_volume": 148190.0,
        "trend": 2.477885,
        "fair_value": 1.575087,
        "relative_strength": 14.600627,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 45.594029,
        "energy": 21.296859,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.59887,
          2.595017,
          2.56715,
          2.547585
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 2.56,
        "volume": 4100,
        "typical_volume": 138515.0,
        "trend": 2.496219,
        "fair_value": 1.57971,
        "relative_strength": 11.095043,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 35.270492,
        "energy": 16.514599,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.585031,
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          2.567929,
          2.552883
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 2.44,
        "volume": 146000,
        "typical_volume": 135115.0,
        "trend": 2.508552,
        "fair_value": 1.583563,
        "relative_strength": 5.00755,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 11.951933,
        "energy": 7.995953,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.537135,
          2.564778,
          2.557802,
          2.549256
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 2.44,
        "volume": 119700,
        "typical_volume": 134705.0,
        "trend": 2.521552,
        "fair_value": 1.586708,
        "relative_strength": 4.427141,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -16.711413,
        "energy": 17.008403,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.497891,
          2.538129,
          2.548485,
          2.544833
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 2.55,
        "volume": 81500,
        "typical_volume": 121780.0,
        "trend": 2.534219,
        "fair_value": 1.591384,
        "relative_strength": 8.12291,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -7.431008,
        "energy": 13.706836,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.503302,
          2.535824,
          2.550787,
          2.546669
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 2.61,
        "volume": 249000,
        "typical_volume": 118775.0,
        "trend": 2.548885,
        "fair_value": 1.596798,
        "relative_strength": 10.219771,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 3.630101,
        "energy": 7.813769,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.534,
          2.545328,
          2.558185,
          2.551558
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 2.99,
        "volume": 262000,
        "typical_volume": 119210.0,
        "trend": 2.571885,
        "fair_value": 1.604295,
        "relative_strength": 21.034036,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.117312,
        "energy": 62.831425,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.690667,
          2.623372,
          2.600391,
          2.580017
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}