{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "910e13a8-ea42-4a43-856a-9d2e9cd216dd",
    "symbol": "CPT",
    "name": "Camden Property Trust",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 90.337,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 39.708,
    "architecture_energy": 26.08,
    "architecture_maturity": 37.751,
    "architecture_confidence": 79.508,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 37.01,
        "rotation_up": 30.53,
        "upward_expansion": 60.41,
        "deceleration": 90.06,
        "rotation_down": 25.31,
        "downward_expansion": 15.08
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        112.198667,
        112.828912,
        110.395402,
        108.381707
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 111.93,
    "trend_reference": 106.74636,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.04856,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 103.24541,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.084116,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -5.49123,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.061098,
    "excess_performance": -0.064527,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.04856,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.027622,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.084116,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.077508,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.054912,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.079835,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.061098,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.511417,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 4357753,
      "relative_activity": 0.781448,
      "balance": 1.511417,
      "dry_up": 0.945146,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.047341,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.21853,
      "from_high_reference": -0.065771,
      "from_low_reference": 0.175744
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 106.74636,
      "fair_value_reference": 103.24541,
      "structural_low": 95.493515,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.002347,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.024771,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
        "best_return": 0.073565,
        "worst_return": -0.170168,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.003603,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.080424,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.004104,
        "worst_return": -0.058943,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.075578,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.001776,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.053561,
        "worst_return": -0.097594,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.164804,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.206371,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.120233,
        "worst_return": -0.209376,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-02-14",
        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.041908,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-03-07",
        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.006667,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.016753,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-25",
        "end": "2025-05-02",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.060263,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-09",
        "end": "2025-08-01",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.085044,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-08-08",
        "end": "2025-12-19",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.036678,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-01-02",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.008329,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2026-02-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.002482,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.091791,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2026-04-24",
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        "return": 0.060792,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-07-31",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "end": "2026-08-07",
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        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
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      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "trend": 104.272083,
        "fair_value": 102.404636,
        "relative_strength": -3.852358,
        "stage": 3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 113.925229,
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        "typical_volume": 5827896.6,
        "trend": 104.716993,
        "fair_value": 102.488538,
        "relative_strength": -1.950345,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 53.572039,
        "energy": 68.46627,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "relative_strength": -7.410596,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 5674205.9,
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        "fair_value": 102.686678,
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        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "energy": 79.355459,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 3549084,
        "typical_volume": 5499042.65,
        "trend": 105.764688,
        "fair_value": 102.810913,
        "relative_strength": 1.331122,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 80.705182,
        "energy": 82.762552,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 3669151,
        "typical_volume": 5506693.6,
        "trend": 106.126151,
        "fair_value": 102.889366,
        "relative_strength": -3.340854,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.153183,
        "energy": 60.350462,
        "activity_lines": [
          113.962311,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 112.97,
        "volume": 6186703,
        "typical_volume": 5569593.8,
        "trend": 106.354215,
        "fair_value": 102.962405,
        "relative_strength": -1.496658,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.704704,
        "energy": 57.428801,
        "activity_lines": [
          113.794416,
          112.477113,
          108.725824,
          107.286844
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 113.73,
        "volume": 3856497,
        "typical_volume": 5540025.2,
        "trend": 106.542321,
        "fair_value": 103.065633,
        "relative_strength": 0.011642,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.974726,
        "energy": 46.597528,
        "activity_lines": [
          113.943535,
          113.053095,
          109.476585,
          107.762701
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 110.81,
        "volume": 6681503,
        "typical_volume": 5643191.45,
        "trend": 106.603085,
        "fair_value": 103.149971,
        "relative_strength": -3.366338,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 43.55515,
        "energy": 30.655385,
        "activity_lines": [
          112.736667,
          112.878512,
          109.909518,
          108.038036
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 111.93,
        "volume": 4357753,
        "typical_volume": 5576507.6,
        "trend": 106.74636,
        "fair_value": 103.24541,
        "relative_strength": -5.49123,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 39.707558,
        "energy": 26.079859,
        "activity_lines": [
          112.198667,
          112.828912,
          110.395402,
          108.381707
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}