{ "ticker": { "uuid": "911195e8-36e2-4f18-9d54-031136e00e27", "symbol": "301631", "name": "Shenzhen Uniconn Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Structural failure", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.108, "architecture_energy": 74.937, "architecture_maturity": 18.099, "architecture_confidence": 78.072, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.61, "rotation_up": 8.32, "upward_expansion": 16.67, "deceleration": 37.16, "rotation_down": 77.57, "downward_expansion": 92.34 }, "activity_lines": [ 59.844667, 64.827272, 71.955355, 72.185637 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 61.459999, "trend_reference": 72.411151, "distance_from_trend": -0.151236, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 66.363369, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.073887, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.177949, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.133068, "excess_performance": -0.140468, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.151236, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.008858, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.073887, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.414068, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.151779, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.231678, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.133068, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.209794, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 11998024, "relative_activity": 0.967409, "balance": 1.209794, "dry_up": 1.094296, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.15486, "annualized_volatility": 0.597475, "from_high_reference": -0.399844, "from_low_reference": 0.220171 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 72.411151, "fair_value_reference": 66.363369, "structural_low": 50.369999, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-06-05", "end": "2026-06-19", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.00576, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-06-26", "end": "2026-07-17", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.220511, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-07-24", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.072975, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2024-11-22", "close": 103.309044, "volume": 19701920, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, 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76.303728 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 70.970001, "volume": 12040512, "typical_volume": 11208475.85, "trend": 74.457925, "fair_value": 66.733646, "relative_strength": -8.312517, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -10.113506, "energy": 17.751772, "activity_lines": [ 74.149999, 78.507173, 77.965082, 76.086778 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 56.700001, "volume": 10878548, "typical_volume": 11368738.75, "trend": 73.87604, "fair_value": 66.616975, "relative_strength": -19.22684, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -43.987252, "energy": 39.473164, "activity_lines": [ 68.046667, 73.814022, 76.205657, 74.941105 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 57.279999, "volume": 14917345, "typical_volume": 11711744.8, "trend": 73.313488, "fair_value": 66.509654, "relative_strength": -18.474558, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -40.034077, "energy": 58.643044, "activity_lines": [ 63.332667, 69.777422, 74.575348, 73.870393 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 58.540001, "volume": 16492879, "typical_volume": 12113272.4, "trend": 72.800234, "fair_value": 66.41909, "relative_strength": -15.18838, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -34.658637, "energy": 62.407538, "activity_lines": [ 60.628667, 66.690753, 73.107097, 72.917265 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 61.459999, "volume": 11998024, "typical_volume": 12402221.05, "trend": 72.411151, "fair_value": 66.363369, "relative_strength": -15.177949, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.108196, "energy": 74.936912, "activity_lines": [ 59.844667, 64.827272, 71.955355, 72.185637 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }