{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "9111d04f-4b00-413b-ae5d-f7e682b079c2",
    "symbol": "9958",
    "name": "Century Iron and Steel Industrial Co.,Ltd.",
    "exchange": "TAI",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -37.939,
    "architecture_energy": 18.085,
    "architecture_maturity": 28.972,
    "architecture_confidence": 68.101,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 41.29,
        "rotation_up": 22.03,
        "upward_expansion": 18.23,
        "deceleration": 53.81,
        "rotation_down": 45.95,
        "downward_expansion": 61.23
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        107.345022,
        108.665879,
        107.264996,
        108.077167
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 103.0,
    "trend_reference": 111.816666,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.078849,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 169.255232,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.391452,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -45.087646,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.146011,
    "excess_performance": -0.587383,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.078849,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.068829,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.391452,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.017744,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.450876,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.115848,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.146011,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.174263,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 12315834,
      "relative_activity": 1.127017,
      "balance": 1.174263,
      "dry_up": 0.859544,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.101631,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.427247,
      "from_high_reference": -0.477192,
      "from_low_reference": 0.066425
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 111.816666,
      "fair_value_reference": 169.255232,
      "structural_low": 96.584412,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 15,
        "median_return": 0.004525,
        "positive_rate": 0.533333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.533333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.015606,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.196132,
        "worst_return": -0.18984,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.007863,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.264706,
        "worst_return": -0.313305,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.043257,
        "positive_rate": 0.2,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
        "median_excess_return": -0.08611,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
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        "worst_return": -0.227468,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.233904,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.141258,
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        "best_return": 0.949621,
        "worst_return": -0.260885,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-12-15",
        "end": "2024-03-29",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.270349,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-04-05",
        "end": "2024-05-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.386574,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.043554,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-08-09",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-09-20",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-10-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.042918,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-10-11",
        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.084309,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.157754,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "Extended",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": true
      }
    ],
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        "date": "2026-04-17",
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
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      },
      {
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      },
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
      {
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        "fair_value": 170.11532,
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        "stage": 4,
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        "energy": 11.657722,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 110.5,
        "volume": 7333585,
        "typical_volume": 10335999.5,
        "trend": 114.45909,
        "fair_value": 169.97045,
        "relative_strength": -42.463931,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -9.033691,
        "energy": 10.533956,
        "activity_lines": [
          110.320779,
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          109.341208
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 104.5,
        "volume": 9793122,
        "typical_volume": 10426028.05,
        "trend": 113.505626,
        "fair_value": 169.754531,
        "relative_strength": -43.610481,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -30.989843,
        "energy": 15.875008,
        "activity_lines": [
          108.315584,
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          106.843939,
          108.698687
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 113.5,
        "volume": 8129224,
        "typical_volume": 10622573.3,
        "trend": 112.627921,
        "fair_value": 169.501504,
        "relative_strength": -38.863889,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -14.082284,
        "energy": 9.07701,
        "activity_lines": [
          109.51948,
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          107.534106,
          108.698324
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 103.0,
        "volume": 12315834,
        "typical_volume": 10927818.4,
        "trend": 111.816666,
        "fair_value": 169.255232,
        "relative_strength": -45.087646,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -37.938822,
        "energy": 18.084965,
        "activity_lines": [
          107.345022,
          108.665879,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}