{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "9115a7c5-ba98-4082-9388-dd4b298e5b13",
    "symbol": "ZFC",
    "name": "BMO SIA Focused Canadian Equity Fund ETF Series",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 76.38,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 47.638,
    "architecture_energy": 40.567,
    "architecture_maturity": 89.868,
    "architecture_confidence": 71.312,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 24.9,
        "rotation_up": 39.31,
        "upward_expansion": 69.08,
        "deceleration": 85.49,
        "rotation_down": 27.81,
        "downward_expansion": 19.08
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        61.707334,
        61.922364,
        61.323524,
        60.262796
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 60.900002,
    "trend_reference": 58.792,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.035855,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 49.003662,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.242764,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -3.476216,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.109694,
    "excess_performance": -0.010727,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.035855,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.053692,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.242764,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.003146,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.034762,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.01899,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.109694,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.958333,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 4000,
      "relative_activity": 2.888087,
      "balance": 1.958333,
      "dry_up": 1.209386,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.01733,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.147913,
      "from_high_reference": -0.040794,
      "from_low_reference": 0.216448
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 58.792,
      "fair_value_reference": 49.003662,
      "structural_low": 54.220001,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 35,
        "median_return": 0.008178,
        "positive_rate": 0.571429,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
        "median_excess_return": -0.001452,
        "regime_survival": 0.685714,
        "best_return": 0.043808,
        "worst_return": -0.072215,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 14,
        "median_return": 0.017714,
        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": -0.003317,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.095408,
        "worst_return": -0.051339,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.045992,
        "positive_rate": 0.625,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.625,
        "median_excess_return": -0.015295,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.125451,
        "worst_return": -0.027213,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.08005,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.014031,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.24515,
        "worst_return": 0.024745,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-08-09",
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        "return": -0.015056,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2024-09-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "fair_value": 47.071693,
        "relative_strength": -3.247102,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 62.06204,
        "energy": 68.143411,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 2744.6,
        "trend": 55.047272,
        "fair_value": 47.188645,
        "relative_strength": -1.092819,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 58.939999,
        "volume": 400,
        "typical_volume": 2688.55,
        "trend": 55.232896,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "volume": 8600,
        "typical_volume": 3090.0,
        "trend": 55.398838,
        "fair_value": 47.424888,
        "relative_strength": 0.714864,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 77.236003,
        "energy": 76.799391,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 1200,
        "typical_volume": 3145.0,
        "trend": 55.607296,
        "fair_value": 47.552103,
        "relative_strength": -0.141219,
        "stage": 2,
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        "direction": 79.028512,
        "energy": 82.79932,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 3210.0,
        "trend": 55.796171,
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        "relative_strength": -0.173592,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2745.0,
        "trend": 56.164362,
        "fair_value": 47.826693,
        "relative_strength": 4.960288,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 93.434053,
        "energy": 95.926045,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 62.18,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2255.0,
        "trend": 56.534286,
        "fair_value": 47.960489,
        "relative_strength": 1.80759,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 76.889938,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "typical_volume": 2115.0,
        "trend": 56.876327,
        "fair_value": 48.101063,
        "relative_strength": 1.729091,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 89.190172,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 300,
        "typical_volume": 2030.0,
        "trend": 57.136885,
        "fair_value": 48.226837,
        "relative_strength": 0.714494,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.335814,
        "energy": 88.158582,
        "activity_lines": [
          61.959333,
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          59.802,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 61.740002,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1920.0,
        "trend": 57.386793,
        "fair_value": 48.36069,
        "relative_strength": 0.534857,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.367478,
        "energy": 84.254303,
        "activity_lines": [
          61.891334,
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          58.93608
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 63.0,
        "volume": 2200,
        "typical_volume": 1840.0,
        "trend": 57.675901,
        "fair_value": 48.494657,
        "relative_strength": 2.470998,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.94648,
        "energy": 75.077175,
        "activity_lines": [
          62.178667,
          61.88891,
          60.483572,
          59.298222
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 62.349998,
        "volume": 1200,
        "typical_volume": 1745.0,
        "trend": 57.965042,
        "fair_value": 48.622851,
        "relative_strength": 1.605964,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.172312,
        "energy": 64.023762,
        "activity_lines": [
          62.264,
          62.069091,
          60.777572,
          59.599777
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 62.990002,
        "volume": 300,
        "typical_volume": 1360.0,
        "trend": 58.226167,
        "fair_value": 48.756821,
        "relative_strength": 2.394408,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.754773,
        "energy": 67.949574,
        "activity_lines": [
          62.551334,
          62.303637,
          61.113524,
          59.923968
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 61.110001,
        "volume": 1200,
        "typical_volume": 1375.0,
        "trend": 58.532,
        "fair_value": 48.883892,
        "relative_strength": -0.143106,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.884752,
        "energy": 56.590168,
        "activity_lines": [
          62.153334,
          62.13891,
          61.238953,
          60.110022
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 60.900002,
        "volume": 4000,
        "typical_volume": 1385.0,
        "trend": 58.792,
        "fair_value": 49.003662,
        "relative_strength": -3.476216,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 47.637769,
        "energy": 40.566794,
        "activity_lines": [
          61.707334,
          61.922364,
          61.323524,
          60.262796
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}