{ "ticker": { "uuid": "911ae1ad-c415-4bd3-9e99-bcf4caf36825", "symbol": "LSPD", "name": "Lightspeed Commerce Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 56.879, "architecture_energy": 30.485, "architecture_maturity": 14.924, "architecture_confidence": 56.737, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.12, "rotation_up": 48.5, "upward_expansion": 71.87, "deceleration": 61.04, "rotation_down": 20.23, "downward_expansion": 7.54 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.238, 10.198727, 9.86781, 9.679613 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 10.46, "trend_reference": 9.648333, "distance_from_trend": 0.084125, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 12.929679, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.191009, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -12.620514, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.12959, "excess_performance": 0.003965, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.084125, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.061477, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.191009, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.075444, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.126205, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.084561, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.12959, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.320228, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4046728, "relative_activity": 0.767566, "balance": 1.320228, "dry_up": 0.841177, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.095926, "annualized_volatility": 0.419863, "from_high_reference": -0.237331, "from_low_reference": 0.335888 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.648333, "fair_value_reference": 12.929679, "structural_low": 7.83, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.048649, "positive_rate": 0.363636, "directional_follow_through": 0.363636, "median_excess_return": -0.062586, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.234513, "worst_return": -0.279255, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.280651, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.182661, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.01844, "worst_return": -0.579749, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.359979, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.385586, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.092388, "worst_return": -0.571999, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 28.732493, "energy": 39.894377, "activity_lines": [ 10.256, 10.054545, 9.711857, 9.608409 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.11, "volume": 6743225, "typical_volume": 5292886.55, "trend": 9.706, "fair_value": 12.964295, "relative_strength": -13.180388, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 24.689436, "energy": 19.904523, "activity_lines": [ 10.186, 10.108909, 9.776143, 9.630968 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.46, "volume": 4046728, "typical_volume": 5272158.2, "trend": 9.648333, "fair_value": 12.929679, "relative_strength": -12.620514, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.878795, "energy": 30.484879, "activity_lines": [ 10.238, 10.198727, 9.86781, 9.679613 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }