{ "ticker": { "uuid": "91299964-593c-486d-86a6-973494bf7a06", "symbol": "WEL", "name": "Wonder Electricals Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 92.137, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 51.578, "architecture_energy": 68.159, "architecture_maturity": 12.694, "architecture_confidence": 84.031, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.57, "rotation_up": 72.95, "upward_expansion": 48.59, "deceleration": 22.57, "rotation_down": 14.03, "downward_expansion": 32.59 }, "activity_lines": [ 116.903333, 109.676182, 104.040143, 106.953602 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 129.699997, "trend_reference": 114.40664, "distance_from_trend": 0.133675, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 117.562744, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.103241, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 0.89825, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.105868, "excess_performance": -0.062158, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.133675, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.139713, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.103241, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.166105, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.008982, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.27438, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.105868, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.969621, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2291909, "relative_activity": 0.300767, "balance": 0.969621, "dry_up": 0.162387, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.063994, "annualized_volatility": 0.688025, "from_high_reference": -0.292801, "from_low_reference": 0.729103 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 114.40664, "fair_value_reference": 117.562744, "structural_low": 75.010002, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.107124, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.084157, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.342601, "worst_return": -0.128352, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.100586, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.104164, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.41616, "worst_return": -0.214987, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.170862, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.124785, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.121923, "worst_return": -0.463647, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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117.679191, "fair_value": 115.771308, "relative_strength": -21.915264, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -33.880506, "energy": 23.420918, "activity_lines": [ 101.368, 98.786364, 99.362239, 106.462621 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 107.239998, "volume": 593320, "typical_volume": 7427774.6, "trend": 116.168476, "fair_value": 116.296466, "relative_strength": -14.626565, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -9.079603, "energy": 19.582107, "activity_lines": [ 103.75, 100.511637, 99.690857, 105.789125 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 119.550003, "volume": 1874386, "typical_volume": 7514204.8, "trend": 115.032119, "fair_value": 116.896068, "relative_strength": -6.629228, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": 23.569632, "energy": 32.941195, "activity_lines": [ 109.377334, 104.39691, 101.340096, 106.007288 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 129.699997, "volume": 2291909, "typical_volume": 7620220.15, "trend": 114.40664, "fair_value": 117.562744, "relative_strength": 0.89825, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 51.577861, "energy": 68.158959, "activity_lines": [ 116.903333, 109.676182, 104.040143, 106.953602 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }