{ "ticker": { "uuid": "914ab32c-6619-47f9-93dd-a013bfb031a2", "symbol": "002337", "name": "Tianjin Saixiang Technology Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.835, "architecture_energy": 63.173, "architecture_maturity": 74.799, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.88, "rotation_up": 25.98, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 60.55, "rotation_down": 56.63, "downward_expansion": 85.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.398, 4.478421, 4.902479, 5.276259 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 4.57, "trend_reference": 5.757966, "distance_from_trend": -0.206317, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.286754, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.135576, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -25.193176, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.316891, "excess_performance": -0.324291, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.206317, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.086162, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.135576, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.304165, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.251932, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.083236, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.316891, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.309032, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 41732207, "relative_activity": 1.206919, "balance": 0.309032, "dry_up": 1.305946, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.085751, "annualized_volatility": 0.31416, "from_high_reference": -0.443362, "from_low_reference": 0.133995 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.757966, "fair_value_reference": 5.286754, "structural_low": 4.03, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.002899, "positive_rate": 0.466667, "directional_follow_through": 0.533333, "median_excess_return": -0.022012, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.331395, "worst_return": -0.149773, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.08933, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.001433, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 1.055072, "worst_return": -0.12921, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.325061, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.229228, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.440633, "worst_return": -0.051423, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"fair_value": 5.305121, "relative_strength": -30.863191, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.653507, "energy": 71.646704, "activity_lines": [ 4.352667, 4.573215, 5.082279, 5.454942 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.38, "volume": 38173984, "typical_volume": 35322585.4, "trend": 5.824632, "fair_value": 5.294379, "relative_strength": -25.122338, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.365624, "energy": 66.199566, "activity_lines": [ 4.342, 4.496719, 4.977665, 5.357203 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.57, "volume": 41732207, "typical_volume": 34577463.2, "trend": 5.757966, "fair_value": 5.286754, "relative_strength": -25.193176, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.834597, "energy": 63.17256, "activity_lines": [ 4.398, 4.478421, 4.902479, 5.276259 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }