{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "914c45d0-8eaa-4185-a53a-c234f5630886",
    "symbol": "IWF",
    "name": "ISHARES TRUST RUSSELL 1000 GROWTH ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 69.52,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 33.834,
    "architecture_energy": 17.578,
    "architecture_maturity": 46.227,
    "architecture_confidence": 78.468,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 47.41,
        "rotation_up": 30.28,
        "upward_expansion": 49.72,
        "deceleration": 80.79,
        "rotation_down": 30.36,
        "downward_expansion": 27.72
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        120.796,
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        121.278119,
        119.390636
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 124.6,
    "trend_reference": 117.396055,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.061364,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 97.519634,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.277691,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -5.032834,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.092869,
    "excess_performance": -0.032755,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.061364,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.009186,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.277691,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.050935,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.050328,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.026725,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.092869,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.146593,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 15004870,
      "relative_activity": 0.72912,
      "balance": 1.146593,
      "dry_up": 1.098968,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 5
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.040209,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.198668,
      "from_high_reference": -0.034327,
      "from_low_reference": 0.219867
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 117.396055,
      "fair_value_reference": 97.519634,
      "structural_low": 102.1423,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": -0.003357,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.00117,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.097748,
        "worst_return": -0.121331,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.069739,
        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": 0.003495,
        "regime_survival": 0.285714,
        "best_return": 0.155025,
        "worst_return": -0.071514,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.098511,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.0156,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.027298,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.215107,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.052871,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.359372,
        "worst_return": -0.228945,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.025472,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.053744,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.174843,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.022606,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.05008,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-11-28",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-12-19",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.040305,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.034306,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 20689234.25,
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        "fair_value": 96.524668,
        "relative_strength": -5.837178,
        "stage": 2,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 117.65,
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        "typical_volume": 20930710.65,
        "trend": 117.184512,
        "fair_value": 96.830219,
        "relative_strength": -6.499638,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "direction": 22.345977,
        "energy": 14.282195,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 118.32,
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        "typical_volume": 20686872.05,
        "trend": 117.204001,
        "fair_value": 97.152461,
        "relative_strength": -6.812443,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 11.608791,
        "energy": 11.480112,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 124.6,
        "volume": 15004870,
        "typical_volume": 20579436.6,
        "trend": 117.396055,
        "fair_value": 97.519634,
        "relative_strength": -5.032834,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}