{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9155ba0f-85e3-4cbc-8dda-90486b196bf7", "symbol": "YJ", "name": "Yunji Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 60.558, "architecture_energy": 29.963, "architecture_maturity": 47.306, "architecture_confidence": 69.885, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.78, "rotation_up": 48.8, "upward_expansion": 67.92, "deceleration": 73.01, "rotation_down": 23.97, "downward_expansion": 10.92 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.029333, 1.779838, 1.703051, 1.684496 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 3.4, "trend_reference": 1.634333, "distance_from_trend": 1.080359, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2.14917, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.582006, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 78.908006, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 1.33677, "excess_performance": 1.149316, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 1.080359, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.037452, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.582006, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.849564, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.78908, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.866219, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.33677, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 108.641048, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 49906388, "relative_activity": 19.611021, "balance": 108.641048, "dry_up": 4.925023, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.349023, "annualized_volatility": 1.504649, "from_high_reference": -0.756621, "from_low_reference": 2.062787 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.634333, "fair_value_reference": 2.14917, "structural_low": 1.18, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.65618, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.653497, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 1.344828, "worst_return": -0.032468, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.019481, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.001424, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.019481, "worst_return": -0.019481, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.019481, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.174485, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.019481, "worst_return": 0.019481, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-02-23", "end": "2024-07-26", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.342234, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-08-02", "end": "2025-02-07", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.056399, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-02-14", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.089205, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.33871, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-07-25", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.015806, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2025-10-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.110497, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-10", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.29019, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-11-28", "end": "2025-12-05", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.00974, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-12-12", "end": "2026-03-13", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.124224, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-03-20", "end": "2026-04-10", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.151351, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": 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rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -26.387213, "energy": 40.244181, "activity_lines": [ 1.474727, 1.526105, 1.598599, 1.60155 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.33, "volume": 197339, "typical_volume": 50269.45, "trend": 1.562333, "fair_value": 2.167926, "relative_strength": -25.962271, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -40.753672, "energy": 47.657087, "activity_lines": [ 1.42404, 1.483835, 1.567956, 1.586217 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.25, "volume": 22996, "typical_volume": 50460.85, "trend": 1.564333, "fair_value": 2.150042, "relative_strength": -30.046309, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -44.707832, "energy": 53.954558, "activity_lines": [ 1.360687, 1.432473, 1.531789, 1.566066 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.4, "volume": 49906388, "typical_volume": 2544813.3, "trend": 1.634333, "fair_value": 2.14917, "relative_strength": 78.908006, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.557985, "energy": 29.962677, "activity_lines": [ 2.029333, 1.779838, 1.703051, 1.684496 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }