{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "915717be-1b98-4ef5-9a94-4e4eac35c924",
    "symbol": "RCON",
    "name": "Recon Technology Ltd",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -88.177,
    "architecture_energy": 65.31,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 87.534,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 9.26,
        "rotation_up": 21.12,
        "upward_expansion": 9.56,
        "deceleration": 59.17,
        "rotation_down": 65.52,
        "downward_expansion": 82.9
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.30326,
        0.369475,
        0.495805,
        0.629208
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 0.0355,
    "trend_reference": 0.826777,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.957062,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 2.347644,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.984878,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -97.535464,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.971825,
    "excess_performance": -1.159279,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.957062,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.276137,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.984878,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.272432,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.975355,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.368753,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.971825,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.160221,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 319702249,
      "relative_activity": 16.902751,
      "balance": 0.160221,
      "dry_up": 4.926858,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 5.237701,
      "annualized_volatility": 3.528589,
      "from_high_reference": -0.98873,
      "from_low_reference": 0.028986
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.826777,
      "fair_value_reference": 2.347644,
      "structural_low": 0.0345,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 45,
        "median_return": -0.087935,
        "positive_rate": 0.266667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.733333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.073936,
        "regime_survival": 0.933333,
        "best_return": 0.827447,
        "worst_return": -0.3997,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 16,
        "median_return": -0.147563,
        "positive_rate": 0.1875,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8125,
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        "worst_return": -0.957234,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.398251,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.625,
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        "regime_survival": 0.625,
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        "worst_return": -0.654206,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.791464,
        "sufficient": false
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 2877595.9,
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        "fair_value": 2.429876,
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        "stage": 4,
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        "direction": -65.006353,
        "energy": 59.00326,
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          0.4295,
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          0.579334,
          0.71414
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.4383,
        "volume": 1610684,
        "typical_volume": 2936682.45,
        "trend": 0.876593,
        "fair_value": 2.389994,
        "relative_strength": -69.341228,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -61.526472,
        "energy": 51.581793,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.434373,
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          0.55508,
          0.683472
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.0355,
        "volume": 319702249,
        "typical_volume": 18914214.45,
        "trend": 0.826777,
        "fair_value": 2.347644,
        "relative_strength": -97.535464,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -88.176932,
        "energy": 65.309871,
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          0.30326,
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          0.495805,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}