{ "ticker": { "uuid": "91599c64-2ce5-4659-921d-4e4339430b8c", "symbol": "CCNE", "name": "CNB Financial Corporation", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 63.474, "architecture_energy": 52.835, "architecture_maturity": 46.428, "architecture_confidence": 86.436, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 6.79, "rotation_up": 64.13, "upward_expansion": 83.49, "deceleration": 55.43, "rotation_down": 18.5, "downward_expansion": 7.83 }, "activity_lines": [ 34.641333, 34.153273, 32.877059, 31.837529 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 34.61, "trend_reference": 30.496419, "distance_from_trend": 0.134887, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 23.354416, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.481947, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 7.836611, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.202479, "excess_performance": 0.015025, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.134887, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.093952, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.481947, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.074695, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.078366, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.066733, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.202479, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.665845, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 977482, "relative_activity": 1.243449, "balance": 1.665845, "dry_up": 1.013073, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.05647, "annualized_volatility": 0.221499, "from_high_reference": -0.04313, "from_low_reference": 0.589863 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 30.496419, "fair_value_reference": 23.354416, "structural_low": 26.085667, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": 0.00935, "positive_rate": 0.565217, "directional_follow_through": 0.565217, "median_excess_return": -0.009802, "regime_survival": 0.73913, "best_return": 0.123057, "worst_return": -0.093373, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.017355, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.016482, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.137031, "worst_return": -0.073873, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.028283, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.0201, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.101404, "worst_return": -0.065342, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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768940.05, "trend": 29.609393, "fair_value": 23.029618, "relative_strength": 12.514905, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.533644, "energy": 70.123616, "activity_lines": [ 33.8, 33.005568, 31.818977, 30.89029 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 34.67, "volume": 743176, "typical_volume": 776158.3, "trend": 29.882642, "fair_value": 23.137775, "relative_strength": 15.207158, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.326234, "energy": 61.287994, "activity_lines": [ 34.176, 33.460075, 32.196217, 31.216781 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 35.1, "volume": 711452, "typical_volume": 783119.0, "trend": 30.205758, "fair_value": 23.245999, "relative_strength": 15.425336, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.084605, "energy": 58.005227, "activity_lines": [ 34.528, 33.893418, 32.579352, 31.553384 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 34.61, "volume": 977482, "typical_volume": 786105.4, "trend": 30.496419, "fair_value": 23.354416, "relative_strength": 7.836611, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.473734, "energy": 52.835447, "activity_lines": [ 34.641333, 34.153273, 32.877059, 31.837529 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }