{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9169fc69-e7b9-49e6-a906-a89adc3689a2", "symbol": "AVEE", "name": "AMERICAN CENTURY ETF TRUST AVANTIS EMERGING MARKETS SMALL CAP EQUIT", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3c", "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch", "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch", "confidence": 80.185, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -19.273, "architecture_energy": 38.211, "architecture_maturity": 4.76, "architecture_confidence": 63.815, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 47.55, "rotation_up": 14.86, "upward_expansion": 20.8, "deceleration": 53.82, "rotation_down": 59.9, "downward_expansion": 45.8 }, "activity_lines": [ 65.784833, 66.852623, 68.027087, 67.670854 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 67.7438, "trend_reference": 67.106338, "distance_from_trend": 0.009499, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 56.843282, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.191764, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -6.955363, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.026673, "excess_performance": -0.098952, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.009499, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.029642, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.191764, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.10717, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.069554, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.102654, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.026673, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.063641, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 73008, "relative_activity": 1.290971, "balance": 1.063641, "dry_up": 1.441162, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.046428, "annualized_volatility": 0.250562, "from_high_reference": -0.064781, "from_low_reference": 0.136164 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 67.106338, "fair_value_reference": 56.843282, "structural_low": 61.238549, "invalidation": "A decisive 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"regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -27.479772, "energy": 29.362607, "activity_lines": [ 66.572067, 67.876738, 68.459414, 67.856003 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 63.28, "volume": 125206, "typical_volume": 56317.75, "trend": 66.955021, "fair_value": 56.767055, "relative_strength": -10.167276, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -36.233925, "energy": 50.706163, "activity_lines": [ 65.280287, 66.897545, 68.032657, 67.619965 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 67.7438, "volume": 73008, "typical_volume": 56552.8, "trend": 67.106338, "fair_value": 56.843282, "relative_strength": -6.955363, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -19.272527, "energy": 38.210921, "activity_lines": [ 65.784833, 66.852623, 68.027087, 67.670854 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }