{ "ticker": { "uuid": "91750d42-71a8-42f3-83ca-1b2701be5ad8", "symbol": "WEMTE", "name": "BNP PARIBAS Easy ICAV - BNP Paribas Easy MSCI World Min TE UCITS ETF UCITS ETF CAPITALISATION", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 87.407, "architecture_energy": 67.457, "architecture_maturity": 51.113, "architecture_confidence": 84.482, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.73, "rotation_up": 56.72, "upward_expansion": 82.07, "deceleration": 63.03, "rotation_down": 26.99, "downward_expansion": 11.07 }, "activity_lines": [ 19.14898, 19.030933, 18.812984, 18.460594 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 19.6525, "trend_reference": 18.077087, "distance_from_trend": 0.08715, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 15.126071, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.299247, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 4.754544, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.119354, "excess_performance": 0.066043, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.08715, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.035729, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.299247, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.040718, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.047545, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.050917, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.119354, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.078877, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 110638, "relative_activity": 1.226535, "balance": 2.078877, "dry_up": 1.595622, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.017253, "annualized_volatility": 0.131957, "from_high_reference": -0.000773, "from_low_reference": 0.231637 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 18.077087, "fair_value_reference": 15.126071, "structural_low": 16.289499, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.010483, "positive_rate": 0.769231, "directional_follow_through": 0.769231, "median_excess_return": -0.002543, "regime_survival": 0.923077, "best_return": 0.044129, "worst_return": -0.023528, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.054757, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.013847, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.059177, "worst_return": -0.044697, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.094035, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.049894, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.112508, "worst_return": 0.075562, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"close": 18.864401, "volume": 139368, "typical_volume": 83155.2, "trend": 17.94979, "fair_value": 15.066964, "relative_strength": 4.963339, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.581156, "energy": 59.739858, "activity_lines": [ 18.92082, 18.890969, 18.614528, 18.294546 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 18.874701, "volume": 113726, "typical_volume": 87061.65, "trend": 18.00366, "fair_value": 15.093969, "relative_strength": 3.214877, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.218937, "energy": 52.658281, "activity_lines": [ 18.9131, 18.890835, 18.681512, 18.354218 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 19.6525, "volume": 110638, "typical_volume": 90203.7, "trend": 18.077087, "fair_value": 15.126071, "relative_strength": 4.754544, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 87.406823, "energy": 67.456875, "activity_lines": [ 19.14898, 19.030933, 18.812984, 18.460594 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }