{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "9175b393-239d-4a92-8151-b93dbd5c8d8e",
    "symbol": "ALDOL",
    "name": "Dolfines SA",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 48.477,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 16.056,
    "architecture_energy": 25.443,
    "architecture_maturity": 13.965,
    "architecture_confidence": 41.519,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 52.05,
        "rotation_up": 53.16,
        "upward_expansion": 42.66,
        "deceleration": 29.0,
        "rotation_down": 16.4,
        "downward_expansion": 17.66
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        1.142,
        1.091127,
        1.049795,
        1.061703
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 1.145,
    "trend_reference": 1.090933,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.04956,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 2.495944,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.541256,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -19.02857,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.192708,
    "excess_performance": 0.139397,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.04956,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.099494,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.541256,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.166323,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.190286,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.180215,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.192708,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.184553,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 6503,
      "relative_activity": 1.718938,
      "balance": 1.184553,
      "dry_up": 1.561067,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.1304,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.799605,
      "from_high_reference": -0.491111,
      "from_low_reference": 0.406634
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 1.090933,
      "fair_value_reference": 2.495944,
      "structural_low": 0.82,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.081394,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.113203,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": -0.030211,
        "worst_return": -0.132576,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.175227,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.14647,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.175227,
        "worst_return": -0.175227,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.450151,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.4213,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.450151,
        "worst_return": -0.450151,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.70997,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.747698,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.70997,
        "worst_return": -0.70997,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2023-05-05",
        "end": "2023-05-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.355556,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-05-19",
        "end": "2024-01-19",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.934426,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-01-26",
        "end": "2024-02-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.111111,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-02-16",
        "end": "2024-04-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.111111,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-04-12",
        "end": "2024-05-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.25,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-31",
        "end": "2024-07-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-07-19",
        "end": "2024-08-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.125,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-09-06",
        "end": "2024-09-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.142857,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-09-20",
        "end": "2025-01-31",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.183333,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-02-07",
        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.214502,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-03-07",
        "end": "2025-06-13",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.283489,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-06-20",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.084444,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-07-18",
        "end": "2026-07-03",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.5,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-07-10",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.132576,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
      {
        "date": "2023-08-18",
        "close": 3.0,
        "volume": 86671,
        "typical_volume": 35689.25,
        "trend": 26.366667,
        "fair_value": 1811.740385,
        "relative_strength": -97.275365,
        "stage": 4,
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        "energy": 71.806337,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-08-25",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 1.03,
        "volume": 1839,
        "typical_volume": 13747.9,
        "trend": 1.296167,
        "fair_value": 3.762431,
        "relative_strength": -39.248388,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -62.538097,
        "energy": 57.7015,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.049667,
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          1.133548,
          1.193978
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 1.045,
        "volume": 4404,
        "typical_volume": 12958.6,
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        "fair_value": 3.573617,
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -58.234782,
        "energy": 56.013503,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 0.95,
        "volume": 4377,
        "typical_volume": 12039.25,
        "trend": 1.249833,
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        "relative_strength": -40.444732,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -69.529497,
        "energy": 61.104912,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.01,
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          1.100167,
          1.156849
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 1.025,
        "volume": 2291,
        "typical_volume": 11439.7,
        "trend": 1.234,
        "fair_value": 3.227303,
        "relative_strength": -35.636413,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -57.557815,
        "energy": 51.178985,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.011,
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          1.142344
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 0.964,
        "volume": 6935,
        "typical_volume": 9697.1,
        "trend": 1.211467,
        "fair_value": 3.053995,
        "relative_strength": -38.619006,
        "stage": 4,
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        "direction": -64.098578,
        "energy": 52.143176,
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          1.070476,
          1.124925
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 0.964,
        "volume": 180,
        "typical_volume": 8730.9,
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        "fair_value": 2.874277,
        "relative_strength": -37.561409,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -64.923871,
        "energy": 64.804611,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 0.946,
        "volume": 610,
        "typical_volume": 8536.1,
        "trend": 1.173467,
        "fair_value": 2.668803,
        "relative_strength": -38.529939,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "gate": "down",
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          1.093082
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "typical_volume": 6410.4,
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "energy": 76.71753,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 0.824,
        "volume": 48,
        "typical_volume": 5345.55,
        "trend": 1.1326,
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        "relative_strength": -44.370134,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -85.544412,
        "energy": 87.60653,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.899333,
          0.939909,
          1.005333,
          1.054699
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 1.0,
        "volume": 3261,
        "typical_volume": 4814.8,
        "trend": 1.117267,
        "fair_value": 2.494021,
        "relative_strength": -31.949199,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -63.402092,
        "energy": 60.512408,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.925467,
          0.945309,
          1.000033,
          1.046144
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 1.32,
        "volume": 12406,
        "typical_volume": 5273.95,
        "trend": 1.1166,
        "fair_value": 2.486456,
        "relative_strength": -7.269126,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -1.19696,
        "energy": 9.958136,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.055867,
          1.009709,
          1.025924,
          1.059224
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 1.02,
        "volume": 8903,
        "typical_volume": 5119.3,
        "trend": 1.109433,
        "fair_value": 2.48979,
        "relative_strength": -27.250057,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -25.380477,
        "energy": 21.330713,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.062533,
          1.014291,
          1.022029,
          1.052991
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 1.215,
        "volume": 4634,
        "typical_volume": 4117.9,
        "trend": 1.112767,
        "fair_value": 2.491168,
        "relative_strength": -12.703246,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 30.53598,
        "energy": 35.98356,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.129267,
          1.054782,
          1.036919,
          1.059802
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 1.1,
        "volume": 3583,
        "typical_volume": 3595.1,
        "trend": 1.102767,
        "fair_value": 2.495014,
        "relative_strength": -21.30117,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 16.412832,
        "energy": 29.680042,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.137333,
          1.069545,
          1.040786,
          1.058978
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 1.145,
        "volume": 6503,
        "typical_volume": 3783.15,
        "trend": 1.090933,
        "fair_value": 2.495944,
        "relative_strength": -19.02857,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 16.055866,
        "energy": 25.443115,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.142,
          1.091127,
          1.049795,
          1.061703
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}