{ "ticker": { "uuid": "917dc044-0c73-468c-b7d0-bc7e793f8b0a", "symbol": "DELPHIFX", "name": "Delphi World Money Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -72.361, "architecture_energy": 86.829, "architecture_maturity": 60.0, "architecture_confidence": 91.568, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 5.58, "rotation_up": 13.01, "upward_expansion": 21.19, "deceleration": 37.4, "rotation_down": 76.18, "downward_expansion": 96.86 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.970667, 7.498909, 8.673143, 9.477784 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 6.77, "trend_reference": 10.852778, "distance_from_trend": -0.376197, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 14.141032, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.521251, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -45.039118, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.550365, "excess_performance": -0.506656, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.376197, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.186791, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.521251, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.299723, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.450391, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.398797, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.550365, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.44684, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 269354, "relative_activity": 0.195986, "balance": 0.44684, "dry_up": 0.530566, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.152028, "annualized_volatility": 0.710064, "from_high_reference": -0.629041, "from_low_reference": 0.090177 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.852778, "fair_value_reference": 14.141032, "structural_low": 6.21, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 33, "median_return": -0.044158, "positive_rate": 0.393939, "directional_follow_through": 0.606061, "median_excess_return": -0.043787, "regime_survival": 0.848485, "best_return": 0.738947, "worst_return": -0.239271, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.034651, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.091311, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.540833, "worst_return": -0.28997, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.065471, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": -0.133608, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.105891, "worst_return": -0.301827, "sufficient": true }, { 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"downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-01-24", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.254307, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-08-01", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.034345, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-08", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.081895, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-09-12", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.108089, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-19", "end": "2025-11-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.113147, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-11-14", "end": 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"fair_value": 14.368098, "relative_strength": -43.372796, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.452427, "energy": 80.639505, "activity_lines": [ 7.614667, 8.117273, 9.238333, 10.06886 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.71, "volume": 422920, "typical_volume": 1585875.1, "trend": 11.172422, "fair_value": 14.255615, "relative_strength": -45.54975, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.609817, "energy": 86.416348, "activity_lines": [ 7.230667, 7.768909, 8.944333, 9.761811 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.77, "volume": 269354, "typical_volume": 1374353.0, "trend": 10.852778, "fair_value": 14.141032, "relative_strength": -45.039118, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.360774, "energy": 86.829173, "activity_lines": [ 6.970667, 7.498909, 8.673143, 9.477784 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }