{ "ticker": { "uuid": "918cb1a3-193a-4550-b0e7-675f5fff8fa2", "symbol": "TARACHAND", "name": "Tara Chand Infralogistic Solutions Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -81.423, "architecture_energy": 62.824, "architecture_maturity": 65.766, "architecture_confidence": 89.715, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 9.26, "rotation_up": 16.96, "upward_expansion": 10.85, "deceleration": 41.81, "rotation_down": 67.6, "downward_expansion": 86.51 }, "activity_lines": [ 53.374667, 54.527174, 56.230981, 57.454016 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 49.490002, "trend_reference": 59.775938, "distance_from_trend": -0.172075, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 61.28627, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.192478, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -25.196117, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.224173, "excess_performance": -0.180464, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.172075, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.107142, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.192478, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.242028, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.251961, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.15865, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.224173, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.161383, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2455804, "relative_activity": 5.125999, "balance": 0.161383, "dry_up": 1.780221, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.075845, "annualized_volatility": 0.289639, "from_high_reference": -0.52262, "from_low_reference": 0.052531 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 59.775938, "fair_value_reference": 61.28627, "structural_low": 47.02, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.011916, "positive_rate": 0.461538, "directional_follow_through": 0.538462, "median_excess_return": -0.027798, "regime_survival": 0.846154, "best_return": 0.232481, "worst_return": -0.123327, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.078772, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.045881, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.535836, "worst_return": -0.123537, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.373885, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.246272, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.584756, "worst_return": 0.163014, "sufficient": false }, { 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"Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.223705, "energy": 38.862389, "activity_lines": [ 55.962427, 56.273947, 57.907516, 59.47901 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 56.049999, "volume": 348803, "typical_volume": 395635.0, "trend": 62.191938, "fair_value": 60.589507, "relative_strength": -15.873037, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.183699, "energy": 35.960811, "activity_lines": [ 55.99629, 56.117436, 57.661382, 59.039875 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 54.990002, "volume": 282478, "typical_volume": 385401.1, "trend": 61.402605, "fair_value": 60.834194, "relative_strength": -15.148671, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.698633, "energy": 38.162887, "activity_lines": [ 55.636163, 55.857833, 57.336725, 58.575233 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 55.119999, "volume": 324445, "typical_volume": 380362.4, "trend": 60.586271, "fair_value": 61.078117, "relative_strength": -16.623564, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.770637, "energy": 36.51578, "activity_lines": [ 55.383921, 55.683685, 57.040781, 58.169904 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 49.490002, "volume": 2455804, "typical_volume": 479087.9, "trend": 59.775938, "fair_value": 61.28627, "relative_strength": -25.196117, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.422756, "energy": 62.824027, "activity_lines": [ 53.374667, 54.527174, 56.230981, 57.454016 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }