{ "ticker": { "uuid": "91948e8c-94b3-4adb-a95d-d7d09891a108", "symbol": "BIM", "name": "Bindi Metals Limited", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 53.923, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 6.045, "architecture_energy": 12.233, "architecture_maturity": 42.186, "architecture_confidence": 45.319, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 57.34, "rotation_up": 40.37, "upward_expansion": 36.13, "deceleration": 54.9, "rotation_down": 24.12, "downward_expansion": 17.46 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.107, 0.103727, 0.108576, 0.108118 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 0.105, "trend_reference": 0.106967, "distance_from_trend": -0.018386, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.104756, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.002325, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -6.631574, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.0, "excess_performance": -0.063706, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.018386, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.020674, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.002325, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.25516, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.066316, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.444833, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.0, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.375622, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 238420, "relative_activity": 1.408396, "balance": 0.375622, "dry_up": 1.054122, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.10989, "annualized_volatility": 0.700877, "from_high_reference": -0.4, "from_low_reference": 0.25 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.106967, "fair_value_reference": 0.104756, "structural_low": 0.09, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.054711, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.034228, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.153846, "worst_return": 0.0, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.071556, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.067442, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.104651, "worst_return": 0.038462, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.177996, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.151368, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.27907, "worst_return": 0.076923, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.217949, "positive_rate": 1.0, 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-6.44398, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -22.350408, "energy": 30.085664, "activity_lines": [ 0.098467, 0.101491, 0.108319, 0.107497 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.125, "volume": 45888, "typical_volume": 216701.6, "trend": 0.107, "fair_value": 0.105878, "relative_strength": 16.875512, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 24.559175, "energy": 12.721855, "activity_lines": [ 0.107667, 0.104691, 0.109929, 0.108718 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.1, "volume": 44000, "typical_volume": 199913.75, "trend": 0.1073, "fair_value": 0.105237, "relative_strength": -8.404333, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -4.11481, "energy": 12.986392, "activity_lines": [ 0.106667, 0.103527, 0.109014, 0.108267 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.105, "volume": 238420, "typical_volume": 169284.75, "trend": 0.106967, "fair_value": 0.104756, "relative_strength": -6.631574, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 6.044937, "energy": 12.232954, "activity_lines": [ 0.107, 0.103727, 0.108576, 0.108118 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }