{ "ticker": { "uuid": "919ae0f0-b00d-4371-8b8e-e451bf756b06", "symbol": "BRAG", "name": "Bragg Gaming Group Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -48.127, "architecture_energy": 32.146, "architecture_maturity": 36.638, "architecture_confidence": 89.676, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.76, "rotation_up": 18.34, "upward_expansion": 6.27, "deceleration": 42.82, "rotation_down": 52.96, "downward_expansion": 77.27 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.684, 1.716, 1.748477, 1.775164 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 1.68, "trend_reference": 1.832003, "distance_from_trend": -0.082971, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.944187, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.574057, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -31.312004, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.115789, "excess_performance": -0.303243, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.082971, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.080629, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.574057, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.095384, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.31312, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.055828, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.115789, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.044787, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 39383, "relative_activity": 0.23973, "balance": 2.044787, "dry_up": 0.672296, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.170128, "annualized_volatility": 0.793217, "from_high_reference": -0.6, "from_low_reference": 0.183099 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.832003, "fair_value_reference": 3.944187, "structural_low": 1.42, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.077875, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.088091, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.163399, "worst_return": -0.35, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.153846, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.209773, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.344227, "worst_return": -0.373932, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.01808, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.134473, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.4, "worst_return": -0.540598, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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"label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-01-10", "end": "2025-01-17", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.242921, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-01-24", "end": "2025-01-31", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.100446, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-02-07", "end": "2025-03-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.230072, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-03-21", "end": "2025-04-11", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.162791, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-05-09", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.155496, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-08-08", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.123932, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.010239, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2025-10-24", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.054945, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-10-31", "end": "2026-04-24", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.180672, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-05-01", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.168317, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 5.53, "volume": 260973, "typical_volume": 138978.1, "trend": 3.81441, "fair_value": 5.224912, "relative_strength": 22.457364, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": 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"typical_volume": 185374.35, "trend": 1.904503, "fair_value": 4.032167, "relative_strength": -26.805201, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -14.13665, "energy": 10.833159, "activity_lines": [ 1.826, 1.766182, 1.803336, 1.832132 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.7, "volume": 114229, "typical_volume": 184319.55, "trend": 1.888503, "fair_value": 4.014219, "relative_strength": -33.421162, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -33.191213, "energy": 16.347849, "activity_lines": [ 1.801333, 1.754182, 1.793478, 1.818938 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.63, "volume": 170246, "typical_volume": 185556.2, "trend": 1.877837, "fair_value": 3.99143, "relative_strength": -33.271866, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -39.268111, "energy": 15.870823, "activity_lines": [ 1.748667, 1.737636, 1.776859, 1.802261 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.64, "volume": 117923, "typical_volume": 185571.0, "trend": 1.86217, "fair_value": 3.96861, "relative_strength": -31.418909, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.586986, "energy": 21.363025, "activity_lines": [ 1.706, 1.723091, 1.761096, 1.786917 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.68, "volume": 39383, "typical_volume": 164280.6, "trend": 1.832003, "fair_value": 3.944187, "relative_strength": -31.312004, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.127048, "energy": 32.145625, "activity_lines": [ 1.684, 1.716, 1.748477, 1.775164 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }