{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "91b1af8f-319d-498b-bf18-e49df93e6634",
    "symbol": "PSXC",
    "name": "Phillips 66",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 67.938,
    "architecture_energy": 87.769,
    "architecture_maturity": 40.364,
    "architecture_confidence": 85.299,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 3.85,
        "rotation_up": 80.62,
        "upward_expansion": 97.62,
        "deceleration": 41.84,
        "rotation_down": 8.29,
        "downward_expansion": 21.95
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        179.216668,
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        161.731545,
        156.183828
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 177.850006,
    "trend_reference": 147.64781,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.204556,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 117.478447,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.513895,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 10.727494,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.352201,
    "excess_performance": 0.177955,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.204556,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.130132,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.513895,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.214147,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.107275,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.061903,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.352201,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.666667,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 2.666667,
      "dry_up": 0.367647,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.053184,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.380851,
      "from_high_reference": -0.058995,
      "from_low_reference": 0.820114
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 147.64781,
      "fair_value_reference": 117.478447,
      "structural_low": 126.177742,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 29,
        "median_return": 0.02007,
        "positive_rate": 0.62069,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.62069,
        "median_excess_return": 0.021942,
        "regime_survival": 0.724138,
        "best_return": 0.229897,
        "worst_return": -0.196963,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": 0.028867,
        "positive_rate": 0.727273,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.727273,
        "median_excess_return": 0.003349,
        "regime_survival": 0.545455,
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        "worst_return": -0.050809,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
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        "worst_return": -0.091645,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": 0.208255,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 32.222217,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 144.091263,
        "volume": 57,
        "typical_volume": 24.5,
        "trend": 126.941096,
        "fair_value": 110.860949,
        "relative_strength": 4.537148,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "energy": 23.891408,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 24.5,
        "trend": 128.191922,
        "fair_value": 111.292731,
        "relative_strength": 5.791448,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "direction": 57.434362,
        "energy": 37.262621,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 151.800003,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 24.5,
        "trend": 129.45716,
        "fair_value": 111.761323,
        "relative_strength": 7.870723,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 67.497263,
        "energy": 46.801651,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 24.5,
        "trend": 130.646476,
        "fair_value": 112.209368,
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        "direction": 60.519077,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 160.699997,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 22.95,
        "trend": 132.156539,
        "fair_value": 112.715348,
        "relative_strength": 11.618323,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 64.92238,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 3,
        "typical_volume": 23.1,
        "trend": 133.48152,
        "fair_value": 113.211233,
        "relative_strength": 5.498525,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "relative_strength": -5.785125,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 4.95,
        "trend": 135.715374,
        "fair_value": 114.138689,
        "relative_strength": -0.174111,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 56.266089,
        "energy": 39.848475,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 154.25,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 4.95,
        "trend": 136.889783,
        "fair_value": 114.612012,
        "relative_strength": -0.829313,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.107514,
        "energy": 36.94802,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 3,
        "typical_volume": 5.1,
        "trend": 138.448472,
        "fair_value": 115.159093,
        "relative_strength": 7.411287,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.134348,
        "energy": 47.89465,
        "activity_lines": [
          156.313331,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 178.949997,
        "volume": 5,
        "typical_volume": 5.35,
        "trend": 140.815383,
        "fair_value": 115.765484,
        "relative_strength": 18.10463,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 88.701461,
        "energy": 83.035349,
        "activity_lines": [
          164.439997,
          159.40418,
          153.634854,
          148.926139
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 182.050003,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 3.4,
        "trend": 143.295447,
        "fair_value": 116.359739,
        "relative_strength": 17.895029,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.847745,
        "energy": 91.105146,
        "activity_lines": [
          172.099999,
          164.147271,
          156.637681,
          151.586437
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 182.449997,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 3.4,
        "trend": 145.744989,
        "fair_value": 116.945983,
        "relative_strength": 17.56254,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.107665,
        "energy": 92.092894,
        "activity_lines": [
          177.456665,
          168.296362,
          159.478162,
          154.112537
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 177.850006,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 3.4,
        "trend": 147.64781,
        "fair_value": 117.478447,
        "relative_strength": 10.727494,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.938229,
        "energy": 87.768685,
        "activity_lines": [
          179.216668,
          171.051818,
          161.731545,
          156.183828
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}