{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "91b44cf4-3104-410a-ba09-f4635f332ddf",
    "symbol": "EVAL",
    "name": "State Street SPDR MSCI Europe Value UCITS ETF EUR Acc",
    "exchange": "EBS",
    "country": "CH",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SSMI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 94.222,
    "architecture_energy": 92.877,
    "architecture_maturity": 41.755,
    "architecture_confidence": 74.383,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 1.38,
        "rotation_up": 87.58,
        "upward_expansion": 97.64,
        "deceleration": 40.68,
        "rotation_down": 10.72,
        "downward_expansion": 19.64
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        73.667332,
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        70.567428,
        68.951699
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 75.339996,
    "trend_reference": 67.152,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.121932,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 52.405449,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.437637,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 7.385112,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.162654,
    "excess_performance": 0.079771,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.121932,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.057046,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.437637,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.107954,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.073851,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.010985,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.162654,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 580.933333,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 3385,
      "relative_activity": 5.808167,
      "balance": 580.933333,
      "dry_up": 3.683082,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.016234,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.134424,
      "from_high_reference": 0.0,
      "from_low_reference": 0.372063
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 67.152,
      "fair_value_reference": 52.405449,
      "structural_low": 59.610001,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 32,
        "median_return": 0.012896,
        "positive_rate": 0.65625,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.65625,
        "median_excess_return": 0.009777,
        "regime_survival": 0.65625,
        "best_return": 0.072637,
        "worst_return": -0.133302,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "positive_rate": 0.833333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.833333,
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        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.081046,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
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        "median_excess_return": 0.007468,
        "regime_survival": 0.428571,
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        "worst_return": -0.169789,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": -0.082014,
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.637842,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 342.85,
        "trend": 62.740667,
        "fair_value": 50.170994,
        "relative_strength": 7.617976,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 64.710274,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 343.85,
        "trend": 63.149333,
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        "relative_strength": 7.889999,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 83.065933,
        "energy": 72.678928,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 331.3,
        "trend": 63.528,
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        "relative_strength": 7.992835,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 331.2,
        "trend": 63.893334,
        "fair_value": 50.693494,
        "relative_strength": 8.414458,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.633568,
        "energy": 84.560723,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "trend": 64.265667,
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        "relative_strength": 7.214955,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
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        "relative_strength": 7.244959,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 0,
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        "trend": 65.034,
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        "relative_strength": 3.777028,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 89.90518,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 71.769997,
        "volume": 1,
        "typical_volume": 228.2,
        "trend": 65.394667,
        "fair_value": 51.423333,
        "relative_strength": 4.111032,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 90.055389,
        "energy": 95.595088,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 70.860001,
        "volume": 15,
        "typical_volume": 212.55,
        "trend": 65.696,
        "fair_value": 51.609263,
        "relative_strength": 3.97973,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.565577,
        "energy": 88.766688,
        "activity_lines": [
          70.817333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 71.599998,
        "volume": 35,
        "typical_volume": 193.65,
        "trend": 66.020334,
        "fair_value": 51.795256,
        "relative_strength": 4.071686,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.100344,
        "energy": 90.619254,
        "activity_lines": [
          71.157999,
          70.470363,
          68.690381,
          67.476409
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 72.510002,
        "volume": 14,
        "typical_volume": 189.45,
        "trend": 66.375334,
        "fair_value": 51.985994,
        "relative_strength": 5.32969,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.634267,
        "energy": 80.632207,
        "activity_lines": [
          71.681333,
          70.969636,
          69.223191,
          67.895097
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 74.18,
        "volume": 5152,
        "typical_volume": 413.75,
        "trend": 66.767334,
        "fair_value": 52.19266,
        "relative_strength": 7.402278,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 92.313187,
        "energy": 76.992363,
        "activity_lines": [
          72.615333,
          71.668364,
          69.868953,
          68.398624
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 75.339996,
        "volume": 3385,
        "typical_volume": 582.8,
        "trend": 67.152,
        "fair_value": 52.405449,
        "relative_strength": 7.385112,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 94.221775,
        "energy": 92.876814,
        "activity_lines": [
          73.667332,
          72.476181,
          70.567428,
          68.951699
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}