{ "ticker": { "uuid": "91b67171-1750-45cd-9818-a40874bdf0b8", "symbol": "SNX", "name": "Premium Snacks Nordic AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.958, "architecture_energy": 59.619, "architecture_maturity": 41.883, "architecture_confidence": 94.39, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 9.22, "rotation_up": 25.33, "upward_expansion": 12.58, "deceleration": 41.47, "rotation_down": 55.06, "downward_expansion": 88.25 }, "activity_lines": [ 32.31, 32.627273, 33.795068, 35.157197 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 33.25, "trend_reference": 37.47953, "distance_from_trend": -0.112849, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 22.613101, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.470387, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -23.127157, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.291945, "excess_performance": -0.35344, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.112849, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.05541, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.470387, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.240549, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.231272, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.091217, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.291945, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.765367, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 121130, "relative_activity": 0.753638, "balance": 0.765367, "dry_up": 0.503273, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.063046, "annualized_volatility": 0.455887, "from_high_reference": -0.351858, "from_low_reference": 0.182576 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 37.47953, "fair_value_reference": 22.613101, "structural_low": 28.609866, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": -0.021873, "positive_rate": 0.35, "directional_follow_through": 0.65, "median_excess_return": -0.008385, "regime_survival": 0.85, "best_return": 0.276923, "worst_return": -0.115044, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.03915, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.051247, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.248, "worst_return": -0.194175, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.072673, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.056603, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.352, "worst_return": -0.270796, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"relative_strength": -24.515094, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.188757, "energy": 52.574713, "activity_lines": [ 32.426667, 32.933637, 34.42474, 35.886235 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 31.35, "volume": 57469, "typical_volume": 163280.1, "trend": 37.785247, "fair_value": 22.438603, "relative_strength": -26.204292, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.828188, "energy": 53.657131, "activity_lines": [ 31.973334, 32.583637, 34.001523, 35.449794 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 33.25, "volume": 121130, "typical_volume": 160727.0, "trend": 37.47953, "fair_value": 22.613101, "relative_strength": -23.127157, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.958448, "energy": 59.618534, "activity_lines": [ 32.31, 32.627273, 33.795068, 35.157197 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }