{ "ticker": { "uuid": "91b72df4-796b-4374-a0c4-a4f584273f4f", "symbol": "MMM", "name": "3M Company", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 72.451, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 86.84, "architecture_energy": 92.816, "architecture_maturity": 17.372, "architecture_confidence": 66.596, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.56, "rotation_up": 81.42, "upward_expansion": 94.92, "deceleration": 44.83, "rotation_down": 8.68, "downward_expansion": 21.59 }, "activity_lines": [ 151.856665, 147.25909, 140.350703, 137.336784 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 158.149994, "trend_reference": 135.501337, "distance_from_trend": 0.167147, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 115.483329, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.369462, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -5.19606, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.096793, "excess_performance": -0.077454, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.167147, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.00853, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.369462, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.276828, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.051961, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.17643, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.096793, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 245.5, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 245.5, "dry_up": 1.275826, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.039317, "annualized_volatility": 0.246844, "from_high_reference": -0.021954, "from_low_reference": 0.313987 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 135.501337, "fair_value_reference": 115.483329, "structural_low": 120.358863, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": -0.008926, "positive_rate": 0.352941, "directional_follow_through": 0.352941, "median_excess_return": -0.038266, "regime_survival": 0.705882, "best_return": 0.179792, "worst_return": -0.159804, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.083068, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.109012, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.280428, "worst_return": -0.138842, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.05107, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.184963, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.355595, "worst_return": -0.24576, "sufficient": true }, { 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138.955087, 134.100404, 133.50542 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 151.699997, "volume": 113, "typical_volume": 52.55, "trend": 134.350257, "fair_value": 114.605957, "relative_strength": -6.814879, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 88.017563, "energy": 68.885176, "activity_lines": [ 144.433332, 141.729999, 136.051633, 134.663437 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 152.550003, "volume": 87, "typical_volume": 49.6, "trend": 134.912868, "fair_value": 115.019837, "relative_strength": -6.033361, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.769772, "energy": 76.754041, "activity_lines": [ 147.453334, 144.175454, 137.985685, 135.837614 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 158.149994, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 48.4, "trend": 135.501337, "fair_value": 115.483329, "relative_strength": -5.19606, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 86.839977, "energy": 92.815887, "activity_lines": [ 151.856665, 147.25909, 140.350703, 137.336784 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }