{ "ticker": { "uuid": "91c3802b-4a24-4bd5-b5e7-32106b7e6140", "symbol": "INDOUS", "name": "Indo Us Bio-Tech Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -75.861, "architecture_energy": 74.072, "architecture_maturity": 56.827, "architecture_confidence": 92.984, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.0, "rotation_up": 19.79, "upward_expansion": 14.92, "deceleration": 44.58, "rotation_down": 71.76, "downward_expansion": 92.92 }, "activity_lines": [ 83.450002, 85.771274, 91.63181, 97.086667 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 81.650002, "trend_reference": 105.104666, "distance_from_trend": -0.223155, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 161.261823, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.493681, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -29.740919, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.351727, "excess_performance": -0.308018, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.223155, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.107907, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.493681, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.144671, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.297409, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.15509, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.351727, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.146915, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 116013, "relative_activity": 1.194723, "balance": 0.146915, "dry_up": 1.509258, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.069603, "annualized_volatility": 0.491378, "from_high_reference": -0.530909, "from_low_reference": 0.024853 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 105.104666, "fair_value_reference": 161.261823, "structural_low": 79.669998, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.042674, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.046615, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.006195, "worst_return": -0.110721, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.150305, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.218889, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.150305, "worst_return": -0.150305, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"fair_value": 162.920715, "relative_strength": -26.558422, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.44157, "energy": 71.194603, "activity_lines": [ 86.908667, 89.062, 94.715571, 100.342946 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 81.620003, "volume": 120976, "typical_volume": 99747.8, "trend": 106.200666, "fair_value": 162.082563, "relative_strength": -30.267296, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.397716, "energy": 69.269338, "activity_lines": [ 84.936668, 87.238182, 93.128476, 98.670581 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 81.650002, "volume": 116013, "typical_volume": 97104.5, "trend": 105.104666, "fair_value": 161.261823, "relative_strength": -29.740919, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.860838, "energy": 74.072029, "activity_lines": [ 83.450002, 85.771274, 91.63181, 97.086667 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }