{ "ticker": { "uuid": "91ccb728-02b4-487f-a61c-d19efb1a2c4e", "symbol": "603477", "name": "Leshan Giantstar Farming&Husbandry Corporation Limited", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -42.44, "architecture_energy": 29.582, "architecture_maturity": 48.133, "architecture_confidence": 89.835, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.02, "rotation_up": 25.19, "upward_expansion": 15.47, "deceleration": 42.71, "rotation_down": 35.48, "downward_expansion": 63.14 }, "activity_lines": [ 14.862, 14.727183, 15.357974, 15.966628 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 15.02, "trend_reference": 16.648891, "distance_from_trend": -0.097838, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 22.749596, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.339768, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -14.980169, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.146591, "excess_performance": -0.103387, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.097838, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.057617, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.339768, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.114764, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.149802, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.030531, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.146591, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.617497, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 90285019, "relative_activity": 1.261626, "balance": 0.617497, "dry_up": 1.126608, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.090522, "annualized_volatility": 0.380445, "from_high_reference": -0.353978, "from_low_reference": 0.179463 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 16.648891, "fair_value_reference": 22.749596, "structural_low": 12.734609, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": 0.000509, "positive_rate": 0.521739, "directional_follow_through": 0.478261, "median_excess_return": -0.017728, "regime_survival": 0.73913, "best_return": 0.210222, "worst_return": -0.195769, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.106256, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": 0.10236, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.430087, "worst_return": -0.214815, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.218756, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": 0.181835, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 1.270974, "worst_return": -0.357332, "sufficient": 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}, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 15.13, "volume": 98156601, "typical_volume": 72864189.6, "trend": 16.900558, "fair_value": 23.082136, "relative_strength": -12.656801, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.637291, "energy": 34.966995, "activity_lines": [ 14.929439, 14.826266, 15.840689, 16.373058 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 14.52, "volume": 75501672, "typical_volume": 72294112.4, "trend": 16.807225, "fair_value": 22.966789, "relative_strength": -16.602099, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.321116, "energy": 28.306941, "activity_lines": [ 14.913602, 14.704048, 15.641895, 16.219474 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 14.59, "volume": 58548012, "typical_volume": 70376025.5, "trend": 16.721891, "fair_value": 22.866184, "relative_strength": -15.804574, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.932843, "energy": 29.460493, "activity_lines": [ 14.862, 14.65798, 15.468958, 16.076427 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 15.02, "volume": 90285019, "typical_volume": 71562439.3, "trend": 16.648891, "fair_value": 22.749596, "relative_strength": -14.980169, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.440125, "energy": 29.582435, "activity_lines": [ 14.862, 14.727183, 15.357974, 15.966628 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }