{ "ticker": { "uuid": "91dc204f-7fba-4c41-86c2-81517df52961", "symbol": "RMDRIP", "name": "R M DRIP & SPRINK SYS LTD", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -69.415, "architecture_energy": 64.625, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 95.96, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.95, "rotation_up": 29.87, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 59.61, "rotation_down": 51.06, "downward_expansion": 83.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 18.535334, 18.789637, 19.077179, 22.277995 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 18.129999, "trend_reference": 29.87425, "distance_from_trend": -0.393123, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 22.150387, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.181504, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -49.246316, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.72093, "excess_performance": -0.677221, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.393123, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.243993, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.181504, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.11577, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.492463, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.003363, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.72093, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.30574, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1704409, "relative_activity": 0.263571, "balance": 0.30574, "dry_up": 0.91894, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.084857, "annualized_volatility": 1.102916, "from_high_reference": -0.74895, "from_low_reference": 0.151842 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 29.87425, "fair_value_reference": 22.150387, "structural_low": 15.74, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.036528, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": -0.02508, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.392158, "worst_return": -0.180073, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.003237, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.022538, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.282352, "worst_return": -0.197738, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.047975, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.033077, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.291262, "worst_return": -0.195312, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"trend": 33.003222, "fair_value": 21.849368, "relative_strength": -48.05298, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.965337, "energy": 52.127536, "activity_lines": [ 19.342001, 18.942364, 19.719802, 24.916405 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 18.110001, "volume": 6884977, "typical_volume": 8479024.1, "trend": 32.055611, "fair_value": 21.948642, "relative_strength": -48.703606, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.1975, "energy": 58.060187, "activity_lines": [ 18.941334, 18.825273, 19.433373, 23.955552 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 18.950001, "volume": 7446949, "typical_volume": 8797059.65, "trend": 31.026528, "fair_value": 22.052143, "relative_strength": -47.11885, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.967316, "energy": 60.137402, "activity_lines": [ 18.856668, 18.883092, 19.283984, 23.110029 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 18.129999, "volume": 1704409, "typical_volume": 6466613.45, "trend": 29.87425, "fair_value": 22.150387, "relative_strength": -49.246316, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.41455, "energy": 64.624594, "activity_lines": [ 18.535334, 18.789637, 19.077179, 22.277995 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }