{ "ticker": { "uuid": "91e0216f-3d21-4e07-8c4c-f60b29c13f85", "symbol": "3438", "name": "Advanced Analog Technology, Inc.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 4.622, "architecture_energy": 17.421, "architecture_maturity": 44.675, "architecture_confidence": 75.228, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 56.22, "rotation_up": 15.97, "upward_expansion": 41.45, "deceleration": 83.13, "rotation_down": 41.85, "downward_expansion": 35.45 }, "activity_lines": [ 57.08, 59.727892, 61.703466, 59.024045 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 58.799999, "trend_reference": 55.57149, "distance_from_trend": 0.058097, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 60.130788, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.022132, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -17.647563, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.286472, "excess_performance": -0.1549, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.058097, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.077513, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.022132, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.083095, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.176476, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.083419, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.286472, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.270076, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 352331, "relative_activity": 0.158649, "balance": 1.270076, "dry_up": 0.409975, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.145243, "annualized_volatility": 0.517522, "from_high_reference": -0.252758, "from_low_reference": 0.459982 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 55.57149, "fair_value_reference": 60.130788, "structural_low": 42.03617, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.047904, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.005653, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.155709, "worst_return": -0.201454, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.122479, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.012477, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.322449, "worst_return": -0.091381, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.238598, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.140714, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.276026, "worst_return": -0.265836, 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61.441226, 57.844974 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 67.900002, "volume": 2390865, "typical_volume": 2102337.0, "trend": 55.065461, "fair_value": 60.37525, "relative_strength": -7.553468, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.766889, "energy": 37.987162, "activity_lines": [ 68.222269, 68.314198, 62.575715, 58.699268 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 54.200001, "volume": 1149138, "typical_volume": 2142785.25, "trend": 55.13, "fair_value": 60.304796, "relative_strength": -20.939146, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 22.973344, "energy": 15.518683, "activity_lines": [ 63.492766, 65.847931, 62.296495, 58.643432 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 55.700001, "volume": 680330, "typical_volume": 2147139.55, "trend": 55.277164, "fair_value": 60.225891, "relative_strength": -19.914985, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 17.317375, "energy": 18.632043, "activity_lines": [ 60.132483, 63.822051, 62.120153, 58.680206 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 53.0, "volume": 593511, "typical_volume": 2132313.6, "trend": 55.226667, "fair_value": 60.150209, "relative_strength": -22.194097, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -4.335803, "energy": 19.379953, "activity_lines": [ 56.895887, 61.449207, 61.633719, 58.533293 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 59.400002, "volume": 2015760, "typical_volume": 2212647.9, "trend": 55.366667, "fair_value": 60.14695, "relative_strength": -14.431954, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 3.471825, "energy": 21.375858, "activity_lines": [ 56.826668, 60.546925, 61.730234, 58.80254 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 58.799999, "volume": 352331, "typical_volume": 2220825.7, "trend": 55.57149, "fair_value": 60.130788, "relative_strength": -17.647563, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 4.622155, "energy": 17.420768, "activity_lines": [ 57.08, 59.727892, 61.703466, 59.024045 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }