{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "91eb81b9-a0ab-4b36-a522-658925ca1be2",
    "symbol": "002633",
    "name": "Shenke Slide Bearing Corporation",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -66.434,
    "architecture_energy": 76.908,
    "architecture_maturity": 17.258,
    "architecture_confidence": 87.917,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 12.71,
        "rotation_up": 11.05,
        "upward_expansion": 17.76,
        "deceleration": 38.82,
        "rotation_down": 75.48,
        "downward_expansion": 93.42
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        13.816667,
        14.434,
        15.940333,
        16.628645
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 14.73,
    "trend_reference": 17.142333,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.140724,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 12.382244,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.189607,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -16.047345,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.091862,
    "excess_performance": -0.099262,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.140724,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.041078,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.189607,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.506438,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.160473,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.151345,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.091862,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.233951,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 11054406,
      "relative_activity": 0.933212,
      "balance": 0.233951,
      "dry_up": 1.107802,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 5
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.10152,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.38839,
      "from_high_reference": -0.298571,
      "from_low_reference": 0.258974
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 17.142333,
      "fair_value_reference": 12.382244,
      "structural_low": 11.7,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.042062,
        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.285714,
        "median_excess_return": 0.070295,
        "regime_survival": 0.857143,
        "best_return": 0.232441,
        "worst_return": -0.242754,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.018492,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.150345,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.752793,
        "worst_return": -0.044837,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.296469,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.173711,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.027174,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
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        "positive_rate": 1.0,
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        "worst_return": 0.576087,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "end": "2024-02-09",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "tenure": "Extended",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-03-14",
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        "active": false
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      {
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
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        "relative_strength": -21.172572,
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        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 14484843.05,
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        "fair_value": 12.321218,
        "relative_strength": -21.382958,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Structural failure",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -86.007383,
        "energy": 86.392377,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 13130952.35,
        "trend": 17.317333,
        "fair_value": 12.336987,
        "relative_strength": -25.074182,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -84.574296,
        "energy": 87.245488,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.037333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 13.22,
        "volume": 11539656,
        "typical_volume": 12059671.1,
        "trend": 17.199667,
        "fair_value": 12.354423,
        "relative_strength": -21.185974,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -74.64603,
        "energy": 86.562911,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.602667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 14.73,
        "volume": 11054406,
        "typical_volume": 11845551.4,
        "trend": 17.142333,
        "fair_value": 12.382244,
        "relative_strength": -16.047345,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -66.434428,
        "energy": 76.907953,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}