{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "9200e89e-db4c-4cd0-8965-e338d4d30fce",
    "symbol": "BKI",
    "name": "Black Iron Inc.",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -52.087,
    "architecture_energy": 31.034,
    "architecture_maturity": 28.944,
    "architecture_confidence": 56.7,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 35.37,
        "rotation_up": 13.11,
        "upward_expansion": 16.91,
        "deceleration": 59.41,
        "rotation_down": 57.97,
        "downward_expansion": 59.91
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.111333,
        0.115273,
        0.11381,
        0.114086
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 0.1,
    "trend_reference": 0.117667,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.150142,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 0.095128,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.051213,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -26.702274,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.285714,
    "excess_performance": -0.406136,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.150142,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.032877,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.051213,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.031369,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.267023,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.010077,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.285714,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.562213,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 823500,
      "relative_activity": 1.286638,
      "balance": 1.562213,
      "dry_up": 0.689254,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.123077,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.611828,
      "from_high_reference": -0.375,
      "from_low_reference": 0.111111
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.117667,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.095128,
      "structural_low": 0.09,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 19,
        "median_return": 0.0,
        "positive_rate": 0.263158,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.263158,
        "median_excess_return": -0.03081,
        "regime_survival": 0.526316,
        "best_return": 0.3,
        "worst_return": -0.230769,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.0625,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.107643,
        "regime_survival": 0.125,
        "best_return": 0.166667,
        "worst_return": -0.348837,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.080128,
        "positive_rate": 0.166667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.166667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.234293,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
        "best_return": 0.666667,
        "worst_return": -0.488372,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.111111,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.288046,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.833333,
        "worst_return": -0.837209,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-10-04",
        "end": "2024-11-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 1.25,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-11-22",
        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.666667,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-03-07",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.4,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.625,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-23",
        "end": "2025-06-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.230769,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-06-27",
        "end": "2025-08-01",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-08-08",
        "end": "2025-09-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.214286,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-09-19",
        "end": "2025-12-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.166667,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-12-12",
        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.153846,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-03-27",
        "end": "2026-04-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.1,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-04-24",
        "end": "2026-06-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.2,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-06-26",
        "end": "2026-07-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.083333,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-07-17",
        "end": "2026-07-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.083333,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-08-07",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
      {
        "date": "2023-08-18",
        "close": 0.08,
        "volume": 293300,
        "typical_volume": 336305.0,
        "trend": 0.079333,
        "fair_value": 0.196795,
        "relative_strength": 1.202195,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 27.105169,
        "energy": 15.212167,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-08-25",
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        "typical_volume": 344955.0,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-08",
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        "typical_volume": 384195.0,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-15",
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        "typical_volume": 391465.0,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-22",
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      },
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        "date": "2023-12-08",
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        "date": "2024-01-12",
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        "date": "2024-01-19",
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        "typical_volume": 1008670.0,
        "trend": 0.122667,
        "fair_value": 0.092308,
        "relative_strength": -25.933882,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "volume": 1249700,
        "typical_volume": 1010340.0,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 950200.0,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "volume": 866300,
        "typical_volume": 944645.0,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 5600,
        "typical_volume": 880175.0,
        "trend": 0.121667,
        "fair_value": 0.093397,
        "relative_strength": -17.036868,
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 244500,
        "typical_volume": 825690.0,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "volume": 128000,
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        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "direction": -2.104394,
        "energy": 10.203842,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 190800,
        "typical_volume": 790765.0,
        "trend": 0.121333,
        "fair_value": 0.094038,
        "relative_strength": -10.216589,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -2.20295,
        "energy": 8.976978,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.116667,
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          0.111238,
          0.115419
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 0.12,
        "volume": 82900,
        "typical_volume": 771305.0,
        "trend": 0.120667,
        "fair_value": 0.094231,
        "relative_strength": -10.766228,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -0.519503,
        "energy": 11.53943,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.118,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 0.13,
        "volume": 478000,
        "typical_volume": 738155.0,
        "trend": 0.120667,
        "fair_value": 0.094487,
        "relative_strength": -3.479967,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 33.425295,
        "energy": 41.740758,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.122667,
          0.118909,
          0.113476,
          0.115935
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 0.12,
        "volume": 287200,
        "typical_volume": 722495.0,
        "trend": 0.12,
        "fair_value": 0.094679,
        "relative_strength": -10.683724,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 19.62029,
        "energy": 38.394356,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.122667,
          0.119636,
          0.114238,
          0.115892
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.12,
        "volume": 547400,
        "typical_volume": 668980.0,
        "trend": 0.119333,
        "fair_value": 0.094872,
        "relative_strength": -10.839439,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 17.975566,
        "energy": 28.53382,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.122,
          0.12,
          0.115048,
          0.115892
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.11,
        "volume": 106500,
        "typical_volume": 642180.0,
        "trend": 0.118667,
        "fair_value": 0.095,
        "relative_strength": -17.697198,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -27.755902,
        "energy": 16.464544,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.118,
          0.118545,
          0.114905,
          0.11529
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.1,
        "volume": 823500,
        "typical_volume": 640040.0,
        "trend": 0.117667,
        "fair_value": 0.095128,
        "relative_strength": -26.702274,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -52.0869,
        "energy": 31.033646,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.111333,
          0.115273,
          0.11381,
          0.114086
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}