{ "ticker": { "uuid": "92099d20-8fc0-43ea-ba8d-051d11220f57", "symbol": "EPVLD", "name": "UBS Factor MSCI EMU Prime Value Screened UCITS ETF EUR dis", "exchange": "MIL", "country": "IT", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 84.309, "architecture_energy": 92.757, "architecture_maturity": 53.467, "architecture_confidence": 88.618, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.17, "rotation_up": 69.11, "upward_expansion": 99.22, "deceleration": 39.38, "rotation_down": 26.97, "downward_expansion": 21.22 }, "activity_lines": [ 26.845666, 26.572818, 25.873786, 25.165235 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 27.055, "trend_reference": 24.294517, "distance_from_trend": 0.113626, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 20.136505, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.34358, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 1.13573, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.181493, "excess_performance": 0.010601, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.113626, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.06898, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.34358, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.092362, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.011357, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.029824, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.181493, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.0, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1971, "relative_activity": 0.961651, "balance": 5.0, "dry_up": 0.720872, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.012325, "annualized_volatility": 0.13041, "from_high_reference": -0.003316, "from_low_reference": 0.306445 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 24.294517, "fair_value_reference": 20.136505, "structural_low": 21.355, "invalidation": "A sustained 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26.295, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1979.3, "trend": 23.502027, "fair_value": 19.826387, "relative_strength": -0.083929, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.147432, "energy": 93.666715, "activity_lines": [ 26.041333, 25.647909, 24.787143, 24.229604 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 26.385, "volume": 6052, "typical_volume": 2258.2, "trend": 23.677927, "fair_value": 19.886426, "relative_strength": 0.743491, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.24477, "energy": 92.40797, "activity_lines": [ 26.222667, 25.85, 25.002452, 24.415603 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 26.51, "volume": 2085, "typical_volume": 2354.85, "trend": 23.828726, "fair_value": 19.947719, "relative_strength": 2.665311, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.405159, "energy": 92.581774, "activity_lines": [ 26.363333, 26.033182, 25.216381, 24.598317 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 26.754999, "volume": 1422, "typical_volume": 2364.25, "trend": 23.987692, "fair_value": 20.010583, "relative_strength": 3.747622, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.947409, "energy": 93.752594, "activity_lines": [ 26.524333, 26.219636, 25.440809, 24.787109 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 26.934999, "volume": 432, "typical_volume": 2167.0, "trend": 24.141349, "fair_value": 20.072996, "relative_strength": 3.7092, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.944155, "energy": 90.103368, "activity_lines": [ 26.685999, 26.401363, 25.662262, 24.977258 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 27.055, "volume": 1971, "typical_volume": 2049.6, "trend": 24.294517, "fair_value": 20.136505, "relative_strength": 1.13573, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.309408, "energy": 92.756786, "activity_lines": [ 26.845666, 26.572818, 25.873786, 25.165235 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }