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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 88.963, "architecture_energy": 92.652, "architecture_maturity": 38.508, "architecture_confidence": 77.679, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.0, "rotation_up": 84.01, "upward_expansion": 98.89, "deceleration": 39.61, "rotation_down": 12.34, "downward_expansion": 20.89 }, "activity_lines": [ 33.244033, 32.763758, 32.0613, 31.381362 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 33.8622, "trend_reference": 30.6071, "distance_from_trend": 0.106351, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 25.068248, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.3508, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 3.047569, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.128571, "excess_performance": 0.002946, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.106351, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.04914, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs 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29.870611, "fair_value": 24.652619, "relative_strength": 2.021827, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.992698, "energy": 64.343692, "activity_lines": [ 31.84108, 31.63768, 30.912296, 30.453718 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 32.45, "volume": 90411, "typical_volume": 192811.0, "trend": 30.002567, "fair_value": 24.73391, "relative_strength": 1.55662, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.353613, "energy": 73.12099, "activity_lines": [ 32.06506, 31.824447, 31.117522, 30.620131 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 32.8019, "volume": 304887, "typical_volume": 200914.85, "trend": 30.15263, "fair_value": 24.814347, "relative_strength": 4.163226, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 81.609705, "energy": 84.13909, "activity_lines": [ 32.34398, 32.043742, 31.343665, 30.800733 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 32.8319, "volume": 322984, "typical_volume": 208435.85, "trend": 30.29236, "fair_value": 24.895261, "relative_strength": 4.76521, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.355098, "energy": 85.358435, "activity_lines": [ 32.576873, 32.235184, 31.558644, 30.973589 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 33.2, "volume": 363096, "typical_volume": 221184.95, "trend": 30.44936, "fair_value": 24.979737, "relative_strength": 4.673904, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.894337, "energy": 88.080749, "activity_lines": [ 32.852087, 32.455907, 31.78991, 31.161178 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 33.8622, "volume": 283990, "typical_volume": 229595.95, "trend": 30.6071, "fair_value": 25.068248, "relative_strength": 3.047569, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 88.963105, "energy": 92.651671, "activity_lines": [ 33.244033, 32.763758, 32.0613, 31.381362 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }