{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "9229b691-059e-4e89-af72-8d23826cfa81",
    "symbol": "003021",
    "name": "Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery & Electronics Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -63.009,
    "architecture_energy": 70.87,
    "architecture_maturity": 54.923,
    "architecture_confidence": 83.338,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 10.47,
        "rotation_up": 10.92,
        "upward_expansion": 15.82,
        "deceleration": 38.26,
        "rotation_down": 70.67,
        "downward_expansion": 89.15
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        78.892002,
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        90.460433,
        95.223438
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 81.150002,
    "trend_reference": 102.922626,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.211544,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 82.552017,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.016983,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -28.841881,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.306766,
    "excess_performance": -0.314165,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.211544,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.067272,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.016983,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.309457,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.288419,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.01889,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.306766,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.327182,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 16790772,
      "relative_activity": 0.857077,
      "balance": 1.327182,
      "dry_up": 0.83259,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.142115,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.609027,
      "from_high_reference": -0.482198,
      "from_low_reference": 0.11931
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 102.922626,
      "fair_value_reference": 82.552017,
      "structural_low": 72.5,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 13,
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        "positive_rate": 0.615385,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.384615,
        "median_excess_return": -0.008485,
        "regime_survival": 0.692308,
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        "worst_return": -0.154705,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "positive_rate": 1.0,
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        "regime_survival": 0.2,
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        "worst_return": 0.036456,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "positive_rate": 0.25,
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        "worst_return": -0.102471,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 73.620003,
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        "typical_volume": 20653771.85,
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        "fair_value": 82.240871,
        "relative_strength": -34.346594,
        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 77.540001,
        "volume": 13877179,
        "typical_volume": 19648395.05,
        "trend": 104.356959,
        "fair_value": 82.373387,
        "relative_strength": -29.076302,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -69.149635,
        "energy": 75.032376,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 81.150002,
        "volume": 16790772,
        "typical_volume": 19590742.65,
        "trend": 102.922626,
        "fair_value": 82.552017,
        "relative_strength": -28.841881,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -63.008545,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}