{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9240741c-d9d4-4c3c-9bf5-3577651e52a5", "symbol": "POWERINDIA", "name": "Hitachi Energy India Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 14.087, "architecture_energy": 13.603, "architecture_maturity": 67.795, "architecture_confidence": 73.104, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 60.15, "rotation_up": 18.3, "upward_expansion": 45.83, "deceleration": 87.69, "rotation_down": 30.91, "downward_expansion": 26.16 }, "activity_lines": [ 32111.0, 32572.909091, 33185.380952, 31706.733333 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 32600.0, "trend_reference": 28920.133333, "distance_from_trend": 0.127242, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 15458.136853, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.108922, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 31.231376, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.490558, "excess_performance": 0.534267, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.127242, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.184643, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.108922, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.511492, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.312314, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.350282, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.490558, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.507991, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 361226, "relative_activity": 0.648312, "balance": 1.507991, "dry_up": 0.968005, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.087423, "annualized_volatility": 0.411975, "from_high_reference": -0.156424, "from_low_reference": 1.023462 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 28920.133333, "fair_value_reference": 15458.136853, "structural_low": 21827.0, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.096183, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.082055, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.205795, "worst_return": -0.113806, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.279721, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.23093, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.406374, "worst_return": -0.018884, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.2525, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.333595, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.700353, "worst_return": 0.115116, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 23.567727, "energy": 25.396572, "activity_lines": [ 31834.0, 33200.727273, 33070.380952, 31167.266667 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 32175.0, "volume": 678986, "typical_volume": 568548.15, "trend": 28429.5, "fair_value": 15277.420316, "relative_strength": 31.752136, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 14.074539, "energy": 16.264031, "activity_lines": [ 31842.0, 32817.454545, 33126.714286, 31437.668817 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 32600.0, "volume": 361226, "typical_volume": 557178.9, "trend": 28920.133333, "fair_value": 15458.136853, "relative_strength": 31.231376, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 14.086585, "energy": 13.602673, "activity_lines": [ 32111.0, 32572.909091, 33185.380952, 31706.733333 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }