{ "ticker": { "uuid": "924a8289-03ce-49dc-9663-9091244baa6c", "symbol": "HVT-A", "name": "Haverty Furniture Companies Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 82.608, "architecture_energy": 61.7, "architecture_maturity": 47.831, "architecture_confidence": 80.751, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.03, "rotation_up": 69.41, "upward_expansion": 82.13, "deceleration": 65.63, "rotation_down": 15.59, "downward_expansion": 8.8 }, "activity_lines": [ 30.303333, 29.536727, 27.448525, 26.506965 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 32.5, "trend_reference": 25.696371, "distance_from_trend": 0.26477, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 23.973616, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.355657, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 20.66667, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.299241, "excess_performance": 0.173616, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.26477, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.074994, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.355657, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.398734, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.206667, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.291474, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.299241, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 8.313932, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1797, "relative_activity": 0.454597, "balance": 8.313932, "dry_up": 0.597718, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.072438, "annualized_volatility": 0.485113, "from_high_reference": -0.258401, "from_low_reference": 0.667464 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 25.696371, "fair_value_reference": 23.973616, "structural_low": 21.134029, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.000274, "positive_rate": 0.533333, "directional_follow_through": 0.533333, "median_excess_return": -0.031062, "regime_survival": 0.533333, "best_return": 0.140601, "worst_return": -0.16999, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.002386, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.097577, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.211287, "worst_return": -0.288176, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.137777, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.203833, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.338088, "worst_return": -0.267003, "sufficient": false }, { 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"fair_value": 23.941304, "relative_strength": 9.950484, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.592444, "energy": 55.470267, "activity_lines": [ 28.736, 28.078582, 26.296696, 25.728462 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 30.2, "volume": 5719, "typical_volume": 4195.05, "trend": 25.44426, "fair_value": 23.950088, "relative_strength": 16.590321, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.79846, "energy": 54.91618, "activity_lines": [ 29.206667, 28.660073, 26.781641, 26.051756 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 32.5, "volume": 1797, "typical_volume": 3952.95, "trend": 25.696371, "fair_value": 23.973616, "relative_strength": 20.66667, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.608461, "energy": 61.699853, "activity_lines": [ 30.303333, 29.536727, 27.448525, 26.506965 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }