{ "ticker": { "uuid": "92525f05-1ede-479d-805c-d59a167b5a26", "symbol": "9949", "name": "Tittot Company Limited", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 68.907, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -53.569, "architecture_energy": 54.042, "architecture_maturity": 7.327, "architecture_confidence": 88.841, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 34.74, "rotation_up": 15.66, "upward_expansion": 14.08, "deceleration": 35.68, "rotation_down": 61.02, "downward_expansion": 85.08 }, "activity_lines": [ 23.723333, 24.54, 24.902857, 25.544589 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 24.15, "trend_reference": 25.872745, "distance_from_trend": -0.066585, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 20.254385, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.192334, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -25.475229, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.01035, "excess_performance": -0.451722, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.066585, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.024333, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.192334, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.029254, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.254752, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.018146, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.01035, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.025252, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 108000, "relative_activity": 0.163752, "balance": 4.025252, "dry_up": 0.341002, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.104634, "annualized_volatility": 0.633717, "from_high_reference": -0.356, "from_low_reference": 0.564 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 25.872745, "fair_value_reference": 20.254385, "structural_low": 22.25, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.005243, "positive_rate": 0.5625, "directional_follow_through": 0.4375, "median_excess_return": -0.004366, "regime_survival": 0.8125, "best_return": 0.234104, "worst_return": -0.1375, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.035211, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.009241, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.437333, "worst_return": -0.175115, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.078536, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.04245, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.453333, "worst_return": -0.135945, "sufficient": false }, { 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"energy": 24.698429, "activity_lines": [ 26.823333, 25.47, 26.285075, 26.278807 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 23.6, "volume": 725154, "typical_volume": 697879.4, "trend": 25.991201, "fair_value": 19.995538, "relative_strength": -23.001971, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -8.842626, "energy": 12.232212, "activity_lines": [ 26.053333, 25.260909, 25.981372, 26.122019 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 23.700001, "volume": 307111, "typical_volume": 695370.9, "trend": 25.949399, "fair_value": 20.052015, "relative_strength": -24.131374, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -12.392261, "energy": 11.276961, "activity_lines": [ 25.33, 25.086364, 25.698456, 25.9742 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 23.299999, "volume": 308436, "typical_volume": 685873.8, "trend": 25.883541, "fair_value": 20.11064, "relative_strength": -24.208716, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.374162, "energy": 27.817096, "activity_lines": [ 24.526667, 24.839091, 25.389981, 25.803271 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 23.549999, "volume": 176062, "typical_volume": 682907.55, "trend": 25.826017, "fair_value": 20.180295, "relative_strength": -25.024115, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.825629, "energy": 51.962283, "activity_lines": [ 23.916666, 24.64, 25.114286, 25.65272 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 24.15, "volume": 108000, "typical_volume": 659533.45, "trend": 25.872745, "fair_value": 20.254385, "relative_strength": -25.475229, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.569003, "energy": 54.042474, "activity_lines": [ 23.723333, 24.54, 24.902857, 25.544589 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }